Predictions › Greece › Panathinaikos vs OFI Crete

Greek Super LeagueSun 22 Nov, 15:30 Greece time

Panathinaikos vs OFI Crete prediction

Athens Olympic Stadium

PanathinaikosHome

2.84 : 0.94

expected goals

OFI CreteAway

76%Panathinaikos

15%Draw

9%OFI Crete

Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals

1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs OFI Crete is Panathinaikos to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Prediction: Panathinaikos to win
Chance: 76%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Panathinaikos 2.8, OFI Crete 0.9
Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.35
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals

74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Panathinaikos to win and both score

39% chanceFair price 2.591 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Panathinaikos 76%, the draw 15% and OFI Crete 9%. The bookmakers agree and make Panathinaikos the favourite at 1.20.
2
Recent form
Panathinaikos took 15 points from their last 5 games and OFI Crete took 10 from 5. Panathinaikos come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Panathinaikos won 7 of their last 10 games at home. OFI Crete won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Panathinaikos score 1.8 goals a game and let in 0.8. OFI Crete score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Panathinaikos games and 9 of OFI Crete games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Panathinaikos won 2 and OFI Crete won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Panathinaikos 4, OFI Crete 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Panathinaikosrecent form+6%
OFI Creterecent form+3%

Panathinaikos form D W W W WOFI Crete form D W W W LHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Panathinaikos vs OFI Crete: Panathinaikos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Panathinaikos host OFI Crete in the Greek Super League on Sun 22 Nov, 15:30 at Athens Olympic Stadium. Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs OFI Crete is Panathinaikos to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Panathinaikos form

Panathinaikos have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

OFI Crete form

OFI Crete have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Panathinaikos won 2, OFI Crete won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Panathinaikos 4, OFI Crete 1.

Our call

We expect Panathinaikos to score about 2.8 goals and OFI Crete about 0.9. That points to Panathinaikos to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35. Our bold bet is Panathinaikos to win and both score at 2.59.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Panathinaikos	OFI Crete
Games played	20	20
Wins	13	9
Draws	3	3
Losses	4	8
Goals scored	36	28
Goals conceded	16	26
Scored per game	1.8	1.4
Conceded per game	0.8	1.3
Home record	7W 2D 1L	6W 2D 2L
Away record	6W 1D 3L	3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	35%	40%
Both teams scored	50%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Panathinaikos to win	76%	1.31	1.20	-8.3%
A Draw	14%	7.33	6.50	-11.3%
OFI Crete to win	9%	11.38	10.50	-7.7%
Over 3.5 goals	44%	2.29	2.10	-8.2%
Under 3.5 goals	50%	2.02	1.63	-19.6%
Panathinaikos -1.5	52%	1.91	1.56	-18.6%
OFI Crete +1.5	41%	2.45	2.15	-12.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	89%	1.12
Over 2.5 goals	73%	1.37
Over 3.5 goals	52%	1.92
Both teams to score	58%	1.73
Panathinaikos or Draw	91%	1.10
OFI Crete or Draw	24%	4.18
Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.5	61%	1.65
OFI Crete to win and Over 2.5	6%	15.42
Panathinaikos clean sheet	39%	2.56
OFI Crete clean sheet	6%	17.05

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-09.2%

3-08.7%

2-18.7%

3-18.2%

1-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Panathinaikos vs OFI Crete?

Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs OFI Crete is Panathinaikos to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for Panathinaikos vs OFI Crete?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Panathinaikos to score 2.8 goals and OFI Crete 0.9.

Will both teams score in Panathinaikos vs OFI Crete?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Panathinaikos last 20 games and 9 of OFI Crete last 20.

How are Panathinaikos playing?

How are OFI Crete playing?

What happened when Panathinaikos and OFI Crete last met?

It ended Panathinaikos 4, OFI Crete 1. In the last 2 meetings Panathinaikos won 2 and OFI Crete won 0.

What is the best bet for Panathinaikos vs OFI Crete?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Panathinaikos against OFI Crete. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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