Predictions › Greece › Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos

Greek Super LeagueSun 13 Sept, 18:30 Greece time

Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos prediction

Athens Olympic Stadium

PanathinaikosHome

2.01 : 0.75

expected goals

PanetolikosAway

66%Panathinaikos

21%Draw

12%Panetolikos

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos is Panathinaikos to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction: Panathinaikos to win
Chance: 66%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Panathinaikos 2.0, Panetolikos 0.8
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score: 46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1.272 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.5

38% chanceFair price 2.621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Panathinaikos 66%, the draw 21% and Panetolikos 12%. The bookmakers agree and make Panathinaikos the favourite at 1.28.
2
Recent form
Panathinaikos took 10 points from their last 5 games and Panetolikos took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Panathinaikos won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Panetolikos won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Panathinaikos score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Panetolikos score 1.4 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Panathinaikos games and 9 of Panetolikos games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Panathinaikos won 1 and Panetolikos won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Panathinaikos 0, Panetolikos 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Panathinaikosrecent form+6%
Panetolikosrecent form+3%
Panathinaikosrest between games-2%

Panathinaikos form W W W W DPanetolikos form W W W L DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos: Panathinaikos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Panathinaikos host Panetolikos in the Greek Super League on Sun 13 Sept, 18:30 at Athens Olympic Stadium. Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos is Panathinaikos to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Panathinaikos form

Panathinaikos have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Panetolikos form

Panetolikos have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Panathinaikos won 1, Panetolikos won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Panathinaikos 0, Panetolikos 0.

Our call

We expect Panathinaikos to score about 2.0 goals and Panetolikos about 0.8. That points to Panathinaikos to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.5 at 2.62.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Panathinaikos	Panetolikos
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	8
Draws	7	6
Losses	4	6
Goals scored	31	27
Goals conceded	21	20
Scored per game	1.6	1.4
Conceded per game	1.1	1.0
Home record	5W 5D 1L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	4W 2D 3L	4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	30%	25%
Both teams scored	55%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Panathinaikos to win	67%	1.49	1.28	-14.3%
A Draw	20%	5.12	5.75	+12.4%
Panetolikos to win	11%	9.45	10.00	+5.8%
Over 2.5 goals	57%	1.75	1.59	-9.4%
Under 2.5 goals	40%	2.47	2.25	-8.9%
Panathinaikos -1.5	48%	2.09	1.77	-15.3%
Panetolikos +1.5	50%	2.01	1.95	-3.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	77%	1.30
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	30%	3.33
Both teams to score	46%	2.15
Panathinaikos or Draw	88%	1.14
Panetolikos or Draw	34%	2.97
Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.5	41%	2.41
Panetolikos to win and Over 2.5	7%	15.38
Panathinaikos clean sheet	47%	2.13
Panetolikos clean sheet	13%	7.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.7%

1-012.1%

1-110.1%

2-19.6%

3-08.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos?

Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos is Panathinaikos to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Panathinaikos to score 2.0 goals and Panetolikos 0.8.

Will both teams score in Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Panathinaikos last 20 games and 12 of Panetolikos last 20.

How are Panathinaikos playing?

How are Panetolikos playing?

What happened when Panathinaikos and Panetolikos last met?

It ended Panathinaikos 0, Panetolikos 0. In the last 2 meetings Panathinaikos won 1 and Panetolikos won 0.

What is the best bet for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Panathinaikos against Panetolikos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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