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Predictions › Greece › Panetolikos vs OFI Crete
Greek Super LeagueSun 1 Nov, 16:00 Greece time

Panetolikos vs OFI Crete prediction

Panetolikos Stadium

PanetolikosHome
1.77 : 1.54
expected goals
OFI CreteAway
43%Panetolikos
24%Draw
33%OFI Crete
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Panetolikos vs OFI Crete is Panetolikos to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Panetolikos to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Panetolikos 1.8, OFI Crete 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Panetolikos to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Panetolikos 43%, the draw 24% and OFI Crete 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Panetolikos took 3 points from their last 5 games and OFI Crete took 1 from 5. Panetolikos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Panetolikos won 3 of their last 11 games at home. OFI Crete won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Panetolikos score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. OFI Crete score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Panetolikos games and 10 of OFI Crete games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Panetolikos won 1 and OFI Crete won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended OFI Crete 1, Panetolikos 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Panetolikosrecent form-3%
  • OFI Creterecent form-4%
Panetolikos form D L L L WOFI Crete form D L L L DHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Panetolikos vs OFI Crete: Panetolikos shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Panetolikos host OFI Crete in the Greek Super League on Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 at Panetolikos Stadium. Our prediction for Panetolikos vs OFI Crete is Panetolikos to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Panetolikos form

Panetolikos have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

OFI Crete form

OFI Crete have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Panetolikos won 1, OFI Crete won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished OFI Crete 1, Panetolikos 0.

Our call

We expect Panetolikos to score about 1.8 goals and OFI Crete about 1.5. That points to Panetolikos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Panetolikos to win and Over 2.5 at 3.30.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PanetolikosOFI Crete
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws63
Losses810
Goals scored2127
Goals conceded2533
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record3W 3D 5L5W 1D 3L
Away record3W 3D 3L2W 2D 7L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.56
Over 3.5 goals42%2.37
Both teams to score66%1.52
Panetolikos or Draw67%1.49
OFI Crete or Draw57%1.75
Panetolikos to win and Over 2.531%3.20
OFI Crete to win and Over 2.524%4.22
Panetolikos clean sheet22%4.65
OFI Crete clean sheet17%5.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-18.8%
1-27.7%
2-26.8%
1-05.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Panetolikos vs OFI Crete?

Our prediction for Panetolikos vs OFI Crete is Panetolikos to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Panetolikos vs OFI Crete?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Panetolikos to score 1.8 goals and OFI Crete 1.5.

Will both teams score in Panetolikos vs OFI Crete?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Panetolikos last 20 games and 10 of OFI Crete last 20.

How are Panetolikos playing?

Panetolikos have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are OFI Crete playing?

OFI Crete have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Panetolikos and OFI Crete last met?

It ended OFI Crete 1, Panetolikos 0. In the last 2 meetings Panetolikos won 1 and OFI Crete won 1.

What is the best bet for Panetolikos vs OFI Crete?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Panetolikos against OFI Crete. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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