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Predictions › Greece › Panetolikos vs Olympiacos
Greek Super LeagueSun 18 Oct, 14:00 Greece time

Panetolikos vs Olympiacos prediction

Panetolikos Stadium

PanetolikosHome
0.82 : 1.68
expected goals
OlympiacosAway
17%Panetolikos
25%Draw
57%Olympiacos
Eagle safe pickOlympiacos or Draw
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Panetolikos vs Olympiacos is Olympiacos to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Olympiacos or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction
Olympiacos to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Panetolikos 0.8, Olympiacos 1.7
Best bet
Olympiacos or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Olympiacos or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Olympiacos to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.161 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Panetolikos 17%, the draw 25% and Olympiacos 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Panetolikos took 9 points from their last 5 games and Olympiacos took 10 from 5. Olympiacos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Panetolikos won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Olympiacos won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Panetolikos score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.2. Olympiacos score 0.9 and let in 0.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Panetolikos games and 4 of Olympiacos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Panetolikos won 0 and Olympiacos won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Olympiacos 2, Panetolikos 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Olympiacos or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Panetolikosrecent form+1%
  • Olympiacosrecent form+3%
Panetolikos form L L W W WOlympiacos form W W L D WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Panetolikos vs Olympiacos: Olympiacos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Panetolikos host Olympiacos in the Greek Super League on Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 at Panetolikos Stadium. Our prediction for Panetolikos vs Olympiacos is Olympiacos to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Olympiacos or Draw at 1.25.

Panetolikos form

Panetolikos have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Olympiacos form

Olympiacos have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 12 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Panetolikos won 0, Olympiacos won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Olympiacos 2, Panetolikos 0.

Our call

We expect Panetolikos to score about 0.8 goals and Olympiacos about 1.7. That points to Olympiacos to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Olympiacos or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is Olympiacos to win and Over 2.5 at 3.16.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PanetolikosOlympiacos
Games played2020
Wins69
Draws67
Losses84
Goals scored2119
Goals conceded2412
Scored per game1.10.9
Conceded per game1.20.6
Home record3W 3D 4L4W 3D 3L
Away record3W 3D 4L5W 4D 1L
Clean sheets25%55%
Both teams scored55%30%
Over 2.5 goals45%20%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.19
Over 3.5 goals24%4.12
Both teams to score46%2.16
Panetolikos or Draw43%2.34
Olympiacos or Draw83%1.21
Panetolikos to win and Over 2.59%11.60
Olympiacos to win and Over 2.532%3.08
Panetolikos clean sheet19%5.38
Olympiacos clean sheet44%2.27

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-113.1%
1-112.0%
0-211.6%
1-29.5%
0-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Panetolikos vs Olympiacos?

Our prediction for Panetolikos vs Olympiacos is Olympiacos to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Olympiacos or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Panetolikos vs Olympiacos?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Panetolikos to score 0.8 goals and Olympiacos 1.7.

Will both teams score in Panetolikos vs Olympiacos?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Panetolikos last 20 games and 6 of Olympiacos last 20.

How are Panetolikos playing?

Panetolikos have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Olympiacos playing?

Olympiacos have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 12 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Panetolikos and Olympiacos last met?

It ended Olympiacos 2, Panetolikos 0. In the last 2 meetings Panetolikos won 0 and Olympiacos won 2.

What is the best bet for Panetolikos vs Olympiacos?

Olympiacos or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Panetolikos against Olympiacos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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