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Predictions › Greece › Panetolikos vs PAOK
Greek Super LeagueSun 20 Sept, 18:00 Greece time

Panetolikos vs PAOK prediction

Panetolikos Stadium

PanetolikosHome
1.44 : 1.65
expected goals
PAOKAway
33%Panetolikos
25%Draw
42%PAOK
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Panetolikos vs PAOK is PAOK to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
PAOK to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Panetolikos 1.4, PAOK 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

PAOK to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Panetolikos 33%, the draw 25% and PAOK 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Panetolikos took 10 points from their last 5 games and PAOK took 8 from 5. Panetolikos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Panetolikos won 4 of their last 10 games at home. PAOK won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Panetolikos score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.0. PAOK score 1.5 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Panetolikos games and 11 of PAOK games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Panetolikos won 0 and PAOK won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Panetolikos 0, PAOK 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Panetolikosrecent form+3%
Panetolikos form W W W L DPAOK form L W L W DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Panetolikos vs PAOK: PAOK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Panetolikos host PAOK in the Greek Super League on Sun 20 Sept, 18:00 at Panetolikos Stadium. Our prediction for Panetolikos vs PAOK is PAOK to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Panetolikos form

Panetolikos have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

PAOK form

PAOK have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Panetolikos won 0, PAOK won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Panetolikos 0, PAOK 3.

Our call

We expect Panetolikos to score about 1.4 goals and PAOK about 1.6. That points to PAOK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is PAOK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.64.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PanetolikosPAOK
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws68
Losses65
Goals scored2730
Goals conceded2020
Scored per game1.41.5
Conceded per game1.01.0
Home record4W 3D 3L5W 3D 1L
Away record4W 3D 3L2W 5D 4L
Clean sheets25%35%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.68
Over 3.5 goals37%2.68
Both teams to score62%1.61
Panetolikos or Draw58%1.73
PAOK or Draw67%1.49
Panetolikos to win and Over 2.522%4.51
PAOK to win and Over 2.529%3.44
Panetolikos clean sheet19%5.22
PAOK clean sheet24%4.20

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
1-28.9%
2-17.8%
0-16.9%
2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Panetolikos vs PAOK?

Our prediction for Panetolikos vs PAOK is PAOK to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Panetolikos vs PAOK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Panetolikos to score 1.4 goals and PAOK 1.6.

Will both teams score in Panetolikos vs PAOK?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Panetolikos last 20 games and 11 of PAOK last 20.

How are Panetolikos playing?

Panetolikos have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

How are PAOK playing?

PAOK have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Panetolikos and PAOK last met?

It ended Panetolikos 0, PAOK 3. In the last 2 meetings Panetolikos won 0 and PAOK won 1.

What is the best bet for Panetolikos vs PAOK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Panetolikos against PAOK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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