Predictions › Greece › Panetolikos vs Volos NFC

Greek Super LeagueSun 22 Nov, 15:00 Greece time

Panetolikos vs Volos NFC prediction

Panetolikos Stadium

PanetolikosHome

1.40 : 1.15

expected goals

Volos NFCAway

42%Panetolikos

28%Draw

30%Volos

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Panetolikos vs Volos NFC is Panetolikos to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction: Panetolikos to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Panetolikos 1.4, Volos NFC 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score: 52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.332 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Panetolikos 42%, the draw 28% and Volos NFC 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Panetolikos the favourite at 2.30.
2
Recent form
Panetolikos took 0 points from their last 5 games and Volos NFC took 1 from 5. Volos NFC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Panetolikos won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Volos NFC won 0 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Panetolikos score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Volos NFC score 0.9 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Panetolikos games and 12 of Volos NFC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Panetolikos won 0 and Volos NFC won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Volos NFC 1, Panetolikos 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Panetolikosrecent form-7%
Volosrecent form-4%

Panetolikos form L L L L LVolos form D L L D LHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Panetolikos vs Volos NFC: Panetolikos shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Panetolikos host Volos NFC in the Greek Super League on Sun 22 Nov, 15:00 at Panetolikos Stadium. Our prediction for Panetolikos vs Volos NFC is Panetolikos to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Panetolikos form

Panetolikos have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Volos NFC form

Volos NFC have 1 win, 6 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Panetolikos won 0, Volos NFC won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Volos NFC 1, Panetolikos 0.

Our call

We expect Panetolikos to score about 1.4 goals and Volos NFC about 1.1. That points to Panetolikos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.51.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Panetolikos	Volos
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	1
Draws	4	6
Losses	11	13
Goals scored	19	19
Goals conceded	33	42
Scored per game	0.9	0.9
Conceded per game	1.6	2.1
Home record	2W 2D 6L	1W 5D 5L
Away record	3W 2D 5L	0W 1D 8L
Clean sheets	15%	5%
Both teams scored	50%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Panetolikos to win	41%	2.46	2.30	-6.6%
A Draw	27%	3.65	3.30	-9.5%
Volos NFC to win	30%	3.38	2.90	-14.2%
Over 2.5 goals	44%	2.29	2.00	-12.6%
Under 2.5 goals	50%	2.02	1.69	-16.3%
Panetolikos -0.5	41%	2.47	2.15	-12.8%
Volos NFC +0.5	53%	1.90	1.56	-18.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.37
Over 2.5 goals	47%	2.13
Over 3.5 goals	25%	3.94
Both teams to score	52%	1.91
Panetolikos or Draw	70%	1.43
Volos NFC or Draw	58%	1.73
Panetolikos to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.13
Volos NFC to win and Over 2.5	17%	6.00
Panetolikos clean sheet	32%	3.15
Volos NFC clean sheet	25%	4.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%

1-010.2%

2-18.8%

0-08.5%

0-18.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Panetolikos vs Volos NFC?

Our prediction for Panetolikos vs Volos NFC is Panetolikos to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Panetolikos vs Volos NFC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Panetolikos to score 1.4 goals and Volos NFC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Panetolikos vs Volos NFC?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Panetolikos last 20 games and 14 of Volos NFC last 20.

How are Panetolikos playing?

How are Volos NFC playing?

What happened when Panetolikos and Volos NFC last met?

It ended Volos NFC 1, Panetolikos 0. In the last 2 meetings Panetolikos won 0 and Volos NFC won 2.

What is the best bet for Panetolikos vs Volos NFC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Panetolikos against Volos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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