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Predictions › Greece › PAOK vs Asteras Tripoli
Greek Super LeagueSun 1 Nov, 17:00 Greece time

PAOK vs Asteras Tripoli prediction

Toumba Stadium

PAOKHome
2.37 : 0.69
expected goals
Asteras TripoliAway
74%PAOK
17%Draw
9%Asteras Trip
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for PAOK vs Asteras Tripoli is PAOK to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
PAOK to win
Chance
74%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
PAOK 2.4, Asteras Tripoli 0.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

PAOK to win and both score
28% chanceFair price 3.531 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives PAOK 74%, the draw 17% and Asteras Tripoli 9%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    PAOK took 9 points from their last 5 games and Asteras Tripoli took 5 from 5. PAOK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    PAOK won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Asteras Tripoli won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    PAOK score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Asteras Tripoli score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of PAOK games and 10 of Asteras Tripoli games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, PAOK won 1 and Asteras Tripoli won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended PAOK 2, Asteras Tripoli 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Asteras Triprecent form-1%
PAOK form D L W W LAsteras Trip form L W D D LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

PAOK vs Asteras Tripoli: PAOK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

PAOK host Asteras Tripoli in the Greek Super League on Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 at Toumba Stadium. Our prediction for PAOK vs Asteras Tripoli is PAOK to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

PAOK form

PAOK have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Asteras Tripoli form

Asteras Tripoli have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. PAOK won 1, Asteras Tripoli won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished PAOK 2, Asteras Tripoli 0.

Our call

We expect PAOK to score about 2.4 goals and Asteras Tripoli about 0.7. That points to PAOK to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is PAOK to win and both score at 3.53.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PAOKAsteras Trip
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws67
Losses57
Goals scored3323
Goals conceded2227
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record6W 2D 1L5W 2D 4L
Away record3W 4D 4L1W 5D 3L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals37%2.74
Both teams to score45%2.20
PAOK or Draw91%1.09
Asteras Tripoli or Draw26%3.92
PAOK to win and Over 2.551%1.98
Asteras Tripoli to win and Over 2.55%21.63
PAOK clean sheet50%1.99
Asteras Tripoli clean sheet9%10.69

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-013.2%
1-010.7%
3-010.4%
2-19.1%
1-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win PAOK vs Asteras Tripoli?

Our prediction for PAOK vs Asteras Tripoli is PAOK to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for PAOK vs Asteras Tripoli?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect PAOK to score 2.4 goals and Asteras Tripoli 0.7.

Will both teams score in PAOK vs Asteras Tripoli?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of PAOK last 20 games and 13 of Asteras Tripoli last 20.

How are PAOK playing?

PAOK have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Asteras Tripoli playing?

Asteras Tripoli have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when PAOK and Asteras Tripoli last met?

It ended PAOK 2, Asteras Tripoli 0. In the last 2 meetings PAOK won 1 and Asteras Tripoli won 0.

What is the best bet for PAOK vs Asteras Tripoli?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in PAOK against Asteras Trip. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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