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Predictions › Greece › PAOK vs Iraklis
Greek Super LeagueSun 18 Oct, 18:00 Greece time

PAOK vs Iraklis prediction

Toumba Stadium

PAOKHome
2.03 : 0.49
expected goals
IraklisAway
73%PAOK
19%Draw
7%Iraklis
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for PAOK vs Iraklis is PAOK to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
PAOK to win
Chance
73%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
PAOK 2.0, Iraklis 0.5
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
34%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

PAOK to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives PAOK 73%, the draw 19% and Iraklis 7%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    PAOK took 12 points from their last 5 games and Iraklis took 6 from 5. PAOK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    PAOK won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Iraklis won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    PAOK score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.0. Iraklis score 0.8 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of PAOK games and 1 of Iraklis games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • PAOKrecent form+1%
PAOK form W W L W LIraklis form D D W D LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

PAOK vs Iraklis: PAOK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

PAOK host Iraklis in the Greek Super League on Sun 18 Oct, 18:00 at Toumba Stadium. Our prediction for PAOK vs Iraklis is PAOK to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

PAOK form

PAOK have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Iraklis form

Iraklis have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 games, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect PAOK to score about 2.0 goals and Iraklis about 0.5. That points to PAOK to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is PAOK to win and Over 2.5 at 2.62.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PAOKIraklis
Games played205
Wins81
Draws73
Losses51
Goals scored314
Goals conceded206
Scored per game1.60.8
Conceded per game1.01.2
Home record5W 3D 1L0W 1D 0L
Away record3W 4D 4L1W 2D 1L
Clean sheets35%40%
Both teams scored55%40%
Over 2.5 goals55%20%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.17
Over 3.5 goals25%4.06
Both teams to score34%2.94
PAOK or Draw93%1.08
Iraklis or Draw27%3.77
PAOK to win and Over 2.541%2.44
Iraklis to win and Over 2.53%34.68
PAOK clean sheet61%1.63
Iraklis clean sheet13%7.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-016.6%
1-015.9%
3-011.2%
0-08.5%
1-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win PAOK vs Iraklis?

Our prediction for PAOK vs Iraklis is PAOK to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for PAOK vs Iraklis?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect PAOK to score 2.0 goals and Iraklis 0.5.

Will both teams score in PAOK vs Iraklis?

Both teams to score has a 34% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of PAOK last 20 games and 2 of Iraklis last 5.

How are PAOK playing?

PAOK have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Iraklis playing?

Iraklis have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 games, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss from 4. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for PAOK vs Iraklis?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in PAOK against Iraklis. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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