Predictions › Greece › PAOK vs Kifisia

Greek Super LeagueSun 22 Nov, 17:30 Greece time

PAOK vs Kifisia prediction

Toumba Stadium

PAOKHome

2.08 : 0.92

expected goals

KifisiaAway

64%PAOK

21%Draw

15%Kifisia

Eagle safe pickPAOK or Draw

1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for PAOK vs Kifisia is PAOK to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is PAOK or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction: PAOK to win
Chance: 64%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: PAOK 2.1, Kifisia 0.9
Best bet: PAOK or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score: 53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

PAOK or Draw

85% chanceFair price 1.182 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

PAOK to win and Over 2.5

41% chanceFair price 2.421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives PAOK 64%, the draw 21% and Kifisia 15%. The bookmakers agree and make PAOK the favourite at 1.41.
2
Recent form
PAOK took 7 points from their last 5 games and Kifisia took 9 from 5. Kifisia come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
PAOK won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Kifisia won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
PAOK score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.2. Kifisia score 1.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of PAOK games and 10 of Kifisia games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, PAOK won 2 and Kifisia won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kifisia 1, PAOK 4.
6
The safest bet
PAOK or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

PAOK form D W L W LKifisia form D L W L WHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

PAOK vs Kifisia: PAOK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

PAOK host Kifisia in the Greek Super League on Sun 22 Nov, 17:30 at Toumba Stadium. Our prediction for PAOK vs Kifisia is PAOK to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is PAOK or Draw at 1.18.

PAOK form

PAOK have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Kifisia form

Kifisia have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. PAOK won 2, Kifisia won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kifisia 1, PAOK 4.

Our call

We expect PAOK to score about 2.1 goals and Kifisia about 0.9. That points to PAOK to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is PAOK or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is PAOK to win and Over 2.5 at 2.42.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	PAOK	Kifisia
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	7
Draws	6	7
Losses	5	6
Goals scored	34	23
Goals conceded	24	24
Scored per game	1.7	1.1
Conceded per game	1.2	1.2
Home record	6W 2D 1L	2W 4D 4L
Away record	3W 4D 4L	5W 3D 2L
Clean sheets	25%	35%
Both teams scored	70%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
PAOK to win	60%	1.66	1.41	-14.9%
A Draw	21%	4.87	4.70	-3.4%
Kifisia to win	14%	7.10	6.50	-8.5%
Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.88	1.56	-17.3%
Under 2.5 goals	40%	2.50	2.25	-9.9%
PAOK -1.5	41%	2.43	2.05	-15.6%
Kifisia +1.5	52%	1.92	1.61	-16.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.24
Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.74
Over 3.5 goals	35%	2.85
Both teams to score	53%	1.89
PAOK or Draw	85%	1.18
Kifisia or Draw	36%	2.75
PAOK to win and Over 2.5	43%	2.33
Kifisia to win and Over 2.5	9%	11.18
PAOK clean sheet	40%	2.50
Kifisia clean sheet	13%	7.99

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.8%

1-110.1%

2-19.9%

1-09.8%

3-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win PAOK vs Kifisia?

Our prediction for PAOK vs Kifisia is PAOK to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is PAOK or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for PAOK vs Kifisia?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-1. We expect PAOK to score 2.1 goals and Kifisia 0.9.

Will both teams score in PAOK vs Kifisia?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of PAOK last 20 games and 11 of Kifisia last 20.

How are PAOK playing?

How are Kifisia playing?

What happened when PAOK and Kifisia last met?

It ended Kifisia 1, PAOK 4. In the last 2 meetings PAOK won 2 and Kifisia won 0.

What is the best bet for PAOK vs Kifisia?

PAOK or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in PAOK against Kifisia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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