Predictions › France › Paris FC vs Angers
Ligue 1Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 France time

Paris FC vs Angers prediction

Stade Jean Bouin

Paris FCHome
2.21 : 0.84
expected goals
AngersAway
68%Paris FC
20%Draw
12%Angers
Eagle safe pickParis FC draw no bet
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Paris FC vs Angers is Paris FC to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Paris FC draw no bet at 1.19.

Prediction
Paris FC to win
Chance
68%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Paris FC 2.2, Angers 0.8
Best bet
Paris FC draw no bet at 1.19
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Paris FC draw no bet
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Paris FC to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Paris FC 68%, the draw 20% and Angers 12%. The bookmakers agree and make Paris FC the favourite at 1.34.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Paris FC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Angers took 1 from 5. Paris FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Paris FC won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Angers won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Paris FC score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.0. Angers score 0.8 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Paris FC games and 8 of Angers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Paris FC won 0 and Angers won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Paris FC 0, Angers 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Paris FC draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Paris FCrecent form+1%
  • Angersrecent form-4%
Paris FC form W W L W LAngers form D L D L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Paris FC vs Angers: Paris FC are favourites

The big picture

Paris FC host Angers in the Ligue 1 on Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 at Stade Jean Bouin. Our prediction for Paris FC vs Angers is Paris FC to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Paris FC draw no bet at 1.19.

Paris FC form

Paris FC have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Angers form

Angers have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Paris FC won 0, Angers won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Paris FC 0, Angers 0.

Our call

We expect Paris FC to score about 2.2 goals and Angers about 0.8. That points to Paris FC to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Paris FC draw no bet at 1.19. Our bold bet is Paris FC to win and Over 2.5 at 2.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Paris FCAngers
Games played2020
Wins113
Draws56
Losses411
Goals scored3616
Goals conceded2037
Scored per game1.80.8
Conceded per game1.01.9
Home record8W 1D 1L1W 4D 6L
Away record3W 4D 3L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Paris FC to win68%1.471.34-8.7%
A Draw19%5.335.00-6.2%
Angers to win12%8.668.00-7.6%
Over 2.5 goals53%1.891.59-16.0%
Under 2.5 goals40%2.482.20-11.3%
Paris FC -1.544%2.261.91-15.5%
Angers +1.549%2.041.74-14.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.75
Both teams to score51%1.96
Paris FC or Draw88%1.14
Angers or Draw32%3.14
Paris FC to win and Over 2.547%2.15
Angers to win and Over 2.57%13.97
Paris FC clean sheet43%2.31
Angers clean sheet11%9.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.6%
1-010.0%
2-19.7%
1-19.3%
3-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Paris FC vs Angers?

Our prediction for Paris FC vs Angers is Paris FC to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Paris FC draw no bet at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Paris FC vs Angers?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Paris FC to score 2.2 goals and Angers 0.8.

Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Angers?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Paris FC last 20 games and 10 of Angers last 20.

How are Paris FC playing?

Paris FC have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Angers playing?

Angers have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Paris FC and Angers last met?

It ended Paris FC 0, Angers 0. In the last 1 meeting Paris FC won 0 and Angers won 0.

What is the best bet for Paris FC vs Angers?

Paris FC draw no bet at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Paris FC against Angers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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