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Predictions › France › Paris FC vs Stade Rennais
Ligue 1Sun 18 Oct, 15:15 France time

Paris FC vs Stade Rennais prediction

Stade Jean Bouin

Paris FCHome
2.04 : 1.43
expected goals
Stade RennaisAway
51%Paris FC
22%Draw
26%Rennes
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Paris FC vs Stade Rennais is Paris FC to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Paris FC to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Paris FC 2.0, Stade Rennais 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Paris FC to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 2.731 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Paris FC 51%, the draw 22% and Stade Rennais 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Paris FC took 11 points from their last 5 games and Stade Rennais took 10 from 5. Paris FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Paris FC won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Stade Rennais won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Paris FC score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Stade Rennais score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Paris FC games and 16 of Stade Rennais games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Paris FC won 0 and Stade Rennais won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Stade Rennais 2, Paris FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Paris FCrecent form+4%
  • Rennesrecent form+3%
Paris FC form W D W W DRennes form L D W W WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Paris FC vs Stade Rennais: Paris FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Paris FC host Stade Rennais in the Ligue 1 on Sun 18 Oct, 15:15 at Stade Jean Bouin. Our prediction for Paris FC vs Stade Rennais is Paris FC to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Paris FC form

Paris FC have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Stade Rennais form

Stade Rennais have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Paris FC won 0, Stade Rennais won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Stade Rennais 2, Paris FC 1.

Our call

We expect Paris FC to score about 2.0 goals and Stade Rennais about 1.4. That points to Paris FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Paris FC to win and Over 2.5 at 2.73.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Paris FCRennes
Games played2020
Wins912
Draws83
Losses35
Goals scored3137
Goals conceded2128
Scored per game1.61.9
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record7W 2D 2L7W 2D 1L
Away record2W 6D 1L5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals67%1.48
Over 3.5 goals46%2.19
Both teams to score67%1.50
Paris FC or Draw74%1.36
Stade Rennais or Draw49%2.05
Paris FC to win and Over 2.539%2.57
Stade Rennais to win and Over 2.519%5.18
Paris FC clean sheet24%4.18
Stade Rennais clean sheet13%7.70

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.6%
2-19.3%
2-26.6%
1-26.5%
2-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Paris FC vs Stade Rennais?

Our prediction for Paris FC vs Stade Rennais is Paris FC to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Paris FC vs Stade Rennais?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-2. We expect Paris FC to score 2.0 goals and Stade Rennais 1.4.

Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Stade Rennais?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Paris FC last 20 games and 12 of Stade Rennais last 20.

How are Paris FC playing?

Paris FC have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Stade Rennais playing?

Stade Rennais have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Paris FC and Stade Rennais last met?

It ended Stade Rennais 2, Paris FC 1. In the last 2 meetings Paris FC won 0 and Stade Rennais won 2.

What is the best bet for Paris FC vs Stade Rennais?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Paris FC against Rennes. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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