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Predictions › France › Pau vs Grenoble
Ligue 2Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 France time

Pau vs Grenoble prediction

Nouste Camp

PauHome
1.45 : 1.34
expected goals
GrenobleAway
39%Pau
27%Draw
34%Grenoble
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pau vs Grenoble is Pau to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Pau to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Pau 1.4, Grenoble 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.891 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pau 39%, the draw 27% and Grenoble 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pau took 8 points from their last 5 games and Grenoble took 7 from 5. Pau come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pau won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Grenoble won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Pau score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.9. Grenoble score 0.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Pau games and 7 of Grenoble games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Pau won 0 and Grenoble won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Pau 2, Grenoble 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Grenoblerecent form+1%
Pau form D W L D DGrenoble form D D W L WHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pau vs Grenoble: Pau shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pau host Grenoble in the Ligue 2 on Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 at Nouste Camp. Our prediction for Pau vs Grenoble is Pau to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Pau form

Pau have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Grenoble form

Grenoble have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Pau won 0, Grenoble won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Pau 2, Grenoble 2.

Our call

We expect Pau to score about 1.4 goals and Grenoble about 1.3. That points to Pau to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.89.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PauGrenoble
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws49
Losses107
Goals scored2417
Goals conceded3723
Scored per game1.20.8
Conceded per game1.91.1
Home record3W 3D 5L1W 7D 1L
Away record3W 1D 5L3W 2D 6L
Clean sheets25%45%
Both teams scored50%40%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.90
Over 3.5 goals30%3.28
Both teams to score57%1.75
Pau or Draw66%1.52
Grenoble or Draw61%1.64
Pau to win and Over 2.524%4.09
Grenoble to win and Over 2.521%4.75
Pau clean sheet26%3.81
Grenoble clean sheet24%4.25

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
2-18.7%
1-08.2%
1-28.0%
0-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Pau vs Grenoble?

Our prediction for Pau vs Grenoble is Pau to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Pau vs Grenoble?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Pau to score 1.4 goals and Grenoble 1.3.

Will both teams score in Pau vs Grenoble?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Pau last 20 games and 8 of Grenoble last 20.

How are Pau playing?

Pau have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Grenoble playing?

Grenoble have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Pau and Grenoble last met?

It ended Pau 2, Grenoble 2. In the last 2 meetings Pau won 0 and Grenoble won 0.

What is the best bet for Pau vs Grenoble?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pau against Grenoble. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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