EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › France › Pau vs Nantes
Ligue 2Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 France time

Pau vs Nantes prediction

Nouste Camp

PauHome
1.51 : 1.28
expected goals
NantesAway
42%Pau
27%Draw
31%Nantes
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pau vs Nantes is Pau to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Pau to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Pau 1.5, Nantes 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pau to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.891 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pau 42%, the draw 27% and Nantes 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pau took 12 points from their last 5 games and Nantes took 4 from 5. Pau come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pau won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Nantes won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Pau score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.6. Nantes score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Pau games and 9 of Nantes games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Paurecent form+3%
  • Nantesrecent form-1%
Pau form D W W W LNantes form D L D W LHome edge in this league 9% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pau vs Nantes: Pau shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pau host Nantes in the Ligue 2 on Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 at Nouste Camp. Our prediction for Pau vs Nantes is Pau to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Pau form

Pau have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Nantes form

Nantes have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Pau to score about 1.5 goals and Nantes about 1.3. That points to Pau to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Pau to win and Over 2.5 at 3.89.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PauNantes
Games played2020
Wins83
Draws45
Losses812
Goals scored2418
Goals conceded3329
Scored per game1.20.9
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record4W 3D 4L2W 2D 5L
Away record4W 1D 4L1W 3D 7L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored50%40%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.89
Over 3.5 goals31%3.26
Both teams to score57%1.76
Pau or Draw69%1.46
Nantes or Draw58%1.73
Pau to win and Over 2.527%3.77
Nantes to win and Over 2.519%5.20
Pau clean sheet28%3.59
Nantes clean sheet22%4.55

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
2-19.0%
1-08.6%
1-27.6%
0-17.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Pau vs Nantes?

Our prediction for Pau vs Nantes is Pau to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Pau vs Nantes?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Pau to score 1.5 goals and Nantes 1.3.

Will both teams score in Pau vs Nantes?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Pau last 20 games and 8 of Nantes last 20.

How are Pau playing?

Pau have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Nantes playing?

Nantes have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Pau vs Nantes?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pau against Nantes. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.