Predictions › France › Pau vs Stade Laval

Ligue 2Fri 9 Oct, 18:00 France time

Pau vs Stade Laval prediction

Nouste Camp

PauHome

1.47 : 1.13

expected goals

Stade LavalAway

44%Pau

27%Draw

28%Stade Laval

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pau vs Stade Laval is Pau to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction: Pau to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Pau 1.5, Stade Laval 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score: 53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pau to win and Over 2.5

25% chanceFair price 3.971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Pau 44%, the draw 27% and Stade Laval 28%. The bookmakers agree and make Pau the favourite at 2.05.
2
Recent form
Pau took 5 points from their last 5 games and Stade Laval took 2 from 5. Pau come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Pau won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Stade Laval won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Pau score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.8. Stade Laval score 1.2 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Pau games and 12 of Stade Laval games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Pau won 2 and Stade Laval won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Stade Laval 0, Pau 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Paurecent form-1%
Stade Lavalrecent form-4%

Pau form W L D D LStade Laval form D L L L DHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pau vs Stade Laval: Pau shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pau host Stade Laval in the Ligue 2 on Fri 9 Oct, 18:00 at Nouste Camp. Our prediction for Pau vs Stade Laval is Pau to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Pau form

Pau have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Stade Laval form

Stade Laval have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Pau won 2, Stade Laval won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Stade Laval 0, Pau 1.

Our call

We expect Pau to score about 1.5 goals and Stade Laval about 1.1. That points to Pau to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Pau to win and Over 2.5 at 3.97.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Pau	Stade Laval
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	4
Draws	4	9
Losses	10	7
Goals scored	24	24
Goals conceded	35	33
Scored per game	1.2	1.2
Conceded per game	1.8	1.6
Home record	2W 3D 5L	3W 6D 2L
Away record	4W 1D 5L	1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	30%	15%
Both teams scored	45%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Pau to win	41%	2.43	2.05	-15.7%
A Draw	27%	3.77	3.45	-8.4%
Stade Laval to win	27%	3.66	3.25	-11.2%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	2.21	1.87	-15.3%
Under 2.5 goals	48%	2.06	1.77	-14.3%
Pau -0.5	42%	2.36	1.95	-17.3%
Stade Laval +0.5	51%	1.95	1.67	-14.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	74%	1.35
Over 2.5 goals	48%	2.08
Over 3.5 goals	26%	3.81
Both teams to score	53%	1.90
Pau or Draw	72%	1.39
Stade Laval or Draw	56%	1.79
Pau to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.85
Stade Laval to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.29
Pau clean sheet	32%	3.08
Stade Laval clean sheet	23%	4.34

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%

1-010.2%

2-19.1%

0-08.2%

2-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Pau vs Stade Laval?

Our prediction for Pau vs Stade Laval is Pau to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Pau vs Stade Laval?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Pau to score 1.5 goals and Stade Laval 1.1.

Will both teams score in Pau vs Stade Laval?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Pau last 20 games and 14 of Stade Laval last 20.

How are Pau playing?

How are Stade Laval playing?

What happened when Pau and Stade Laval last met?

It ended Stade Laval 0, Pau 1. In the last 2 meetings Pau won 2 and Stade Laval won 0.

What is the best bet for Pau vs Stade Laval?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pau against Stade Laval. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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