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Predictions › Netherlands › PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag
EredivisieSun 1 Nov, 11:15 Netherlands time

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag prediction

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC ZwolleHome
1.51 : 1.48
expected goals
ADO Den HaagAway
38%PEC Zwolle
26%Draw
36%ADO Den Haag
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag is PEC Zwolle to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
PEC Zwolle to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
PEC Zwolle 1.5, ADO Den Haag 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
12% chanceFair price 8.381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives PEC Zwolle 38%, the draw 26% and ADO Den Haag 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    PEC Zwolle took 4 points from their last 5 games and ADO Den Haag took 5 from 5. ADO Den Haag come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    PEC Zwolle won 3 of their last 11 games at home. ADO Den Haag won 0 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    PEC Zwolle score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.2. ADO Den Haag score 1.2 and let in 2.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of PEC Zwolle games and 6 of ADO Den Haag games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • PEC Zwollerecent form-4%
  • ADO Den Haagrecent form-3%
PEC Zwolle form D L L L DADO Den Haag form D D D L LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: PEC Zwolle shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

PEC Zwolle host ADO Den Haag in the Eredivisie on Sun 1 Nov, 11:15 at MAC³PARK Stadion. Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag is PEC Zwolle to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

PEC Zwolle form

PEC Zwolle have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 44 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

ADO Den Haag form

ADO Den Haag have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 9 games, with 11 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect PEC Zwolle to score about 1.5 goals and ADO Den Haag about 1.5. That points to PEC Zwolle to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.38.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag
Games played209
Wins41
Draws63
Losses105
Goals scored2111
Goals conceded4420
Scored per game1.11.2
Conceded per game2.22.2
Home record3W 3D 5L1W 1D 2L
Away record1W 3D 5L0W 2D 3L
Clean sheets15%0%
Both teams scored55%78%
Over 2.5 goals55%67%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.86
Both teams to score61%1.65
PEC Zwolle or Draw64%1.57
ADO Den Haag or Draw62%1.61
PEC Zwolle to win and Over 2.525%3.97
ADO Den Haag to win and Over 2.524%4.15
PEC Zwolle clean sheet23%4.38
ADO Den Haag clean sheet22%4.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
2-18.5%
1-28.3%
1-07.0%
0-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag is PEC Zwolle to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect PEC Zwolle to score 1.5 goals and ADO Den Haag 1.5.

Will both teams score in PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of PEC Zwolle last 20 games and 7 of ADO Den Haag last 9.

How are PEC Zwolle playing?

PEC Zwolle have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 44 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are ADO Den Haag playing?

ADO Den Haag have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 9 games, with 11 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in PEC Zwolle against ADO Den Haag. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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