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Predictions › Netherlands › PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles
EredivisieSun 18 Oct, 10:15 Netherlands time

PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC ZwolleHome
1.36 : 1.79
expected goals
Go Ahead EaglesAway
29%PEC Zwolle
24%Draw
47%Go Ahead Eagles
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles is Go Ahead Eagles to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Go Ahead Eagles to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
PEC Zwolle 1.4, Go Ahead Eagles 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Go Ahead Eagles to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.111 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives PEC Zwolle 29%, the draw 24% and Go Ahead Eagles 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    PEC Zwolle took 4 points from their last 5 games and Go Ahead Eagles took 6 from 5. Go Ahead Eagles come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    PEC Zwolle won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Go Ahead Eagles won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    PEC Zwolle score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.4. Go Ahead Eagles score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of PEC Zwolle games and 13 of Go Ahead Eagles games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, PEC Zwolle won 0 and Go Ahead Eagles won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Go Ahead Eagles 5, PEC Zwolle 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • PEC Zwollerecent form-3%
PEC Zwolle form L L D L WGo Ahead Eagles form D D D L WHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles: Go Ahead Eagles are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

PEC Zwolle host Go Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie on Sun 18 Oct, 10:15 at MAC³PARK Stadion. Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles is Go Ahead Eagles to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

PEC Zwolle form

PEC Zwolle have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 48 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Go Ahead Eagles form

Go Ahead Eagles have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. PEC Zwolle won 0, Go Ahead Eagles won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Go Ahead Eagles 5, PEC Zwolle 0.

Our call

We expect PEC Zwolle to score about 1.4 goals and Go Ahead Eagles about 1.8. That points to Go Ahead Eagles to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Go Ahead Eagles to win and Over 2.5 at 3.11.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PEC ZwolleGo Ahead Eagles
Games played2020
Wins36
Draws67
Losses117
Goals scored2038
Goals conceded4832
Scored per game1.01.9
Conceded per game2.41.6
Home record2W 3D 5L5W 2D 3L
Away record1W 3D 6L1W 5D 4L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.64
Over 3.5 goals39%2.60
Both teams to score62%1.60
PEC Zwolle or Draw53%1.89
Go Ahead Eagles or Draw71%1.40
PEC Zwolle to win and Over 2.519%5.15
Go Ahead Eagles to win and Over 2.533%3.02
PEC Zwolle clean sheet17%5.98
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet26%3.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
1-29.3%
2-17.1%
0-17.1%
0-26.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles is Go Ahead Eagles to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect PEC Zwolle to score 1.4 goals and Go Ahead Eagles 1.8.

Will both teams score in PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of PEC Zwolle last 20 games and 12 of Go Ahead Eagles last 20.

How are PEC Zwolle playing?

PEC Zwolle have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 48 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Go Ahead Eagles playing?

Go Ahead Eagles have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when PEC Zwolle and Go Ahead Eagles last met?

It ended Go Ahead Eagles 5, PEC Zwolle 0. In the last 2 meetings PEC Zwolle won 0 and Go Ahead Eagles won 2.

What is the best bet for PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in PEC Zwolle against Go Ahead Eagles. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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