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Predictions › Netherlands › PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur
EredivisieSun 11 Oct, 12:30 Netherlands time

PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur prediction

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC ZwolleHome
1.79 : 1.40
expected goals
SC CambuurAway
46%PEC Zwolle
24%Draw
30%Cambuur
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur is PEC Zwolle to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
PEC Zwolle to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
PEC Zwolle 1.8, SC Cambuur 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SC Cambuur to win
29% chancePrice 3.451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives PEC Zwolle 46%, the draw 24% and SC Cambuur 30%. The bookmakers agree and make PEC Zwolle the favourite at 1.87.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    PEC Zwolle took 4 points from their last 5 games and SC Cambuur took 5 from 5. SC Cambuur come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    PEC Zwolle won 2 of their last 10 games at home. SC Cambuur won 0 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    PEC Zwolle score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.4. SC Cambuur score 1.4 and let in 2.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of PEC Zwolle games and 6 of SC Cambuur games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • PEC Zwollerecent form-3%
  • Cambuurrecent form-1%
PEC Zwolle form L L D L WCambuur form D W D L LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur: PEC Zwolle are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

PEC Zwolle host SC Cambuur in the Eredivisie on Sun 11 Oct, 12:30 at MAC³PARK Stadion. Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur is PEC Zwolle to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

PEC Zwolle form

PEC Zwolle have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 48 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

SC Cambuur form

SC Cambuur have 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 10 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect PEC Zwolle to score about 1.8 goals and SC Cambuur about 1.4. That points to PEC Zwolle to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is SC Cambuur to win at 3.45.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PEC ZwolleCambuur
Games played207
Wins31
Draws62
Losses114
Goals scored2010
Goals conceded4819
Scored per game1.01.4
Conceded per game2.42.7
Home record2W 3D 5L1W 0D 3L
Away record1W 3D 6L0W 2D 1L
Clean sheets15%14%
Both teams scored60%71%
Over 2.5 goals60%86%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
PEC Zwolle to win43%2.301.87-18.8%
A Draw24%4.213.90-7.3%
SC Cambuur to win29%3.483.45-1.0%
Over 3.5 goals39%2.562.15-16.2%
Under 3.5 goals55%1.811.59-12.5%
PEC Zwolle -0.546%2.161.80-16.7%
SC Cambuur +0.548%2.091.83-12.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.62
Over 3.5 goals39%2.54
Both teams to score63%1.58
PEC Zwolle or Draw70%1.42
SC Cambuur or Draw54%1.86
PEC Zwolle to win and Over 2.533%3.05
SC Cambuur to win and Over 2.520%4.92
PEC Zwolle clean sheet25%4.04
SC Cambuur clean sheet17%5.98

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%
2-19.2%
1-27.2%
1-06.8%
2-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur?

Our prediction for PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur is PEC Zwolle to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect PEC Zwolle to score 1.8 goals and SC Cambuur 1.4.

Will both teams score in PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of PEC Zwolle last 20 games and 5 of SC Cambuur last 7.

How are PEC Zwolle playing?

PEC Zwolle have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 48 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

How are SC Cambuur playing?

SC Cambuur have 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 10 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in PEC Zwolle against Cambuur. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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