EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Uruguay › Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSat 31 Oct, 19:30 Uruguay time

Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers prediction

Estadio Saroldi

PeñarolHome
2.42 : 1.06
expected goals
Montevideo WanderersAway
67%Peñarol
19%Draw
14%Wanderers
Eagle safe pickPeñarol or Draw
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers is Peñarol to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Peñarol or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction
Peñarol to win
Chance
67%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Peñarol 2.4, Montevideo Wanderers 1.1
Best bet
Peñarol or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Peñarol or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Peñarol to win and both score
36% chanceFair price 2.811 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Peñarol 67%, the draw 19% and Montevideo Wanderers 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Peñarol took 8 points from their last 5 games and Montevideo Wanderers took 7 from 5. Peñarol come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Peñarol won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Montevideo Wanderers won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Peñarol score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.7. Montevideo Wanderers score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Peñarol games and 8 of Montevideo Wanderers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Peñarol won 2 and Montevideo Wanderers won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Peñarol 5, Montevideo Wanderers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Peñarol or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Peñarolrecent form+3%
  • Wanderersrecent form+1%
Peñarol form D D W D WWanderers form D L W W DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers: Peñarol are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Peñarol host Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sat 31 Oct, 19:30 at Estadio Saroldi. Our prediction for Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers is Peñarol to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Peñarol or Draw at 1.18.

Peñarol form

Peñarol have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Montevideo Wanderers form

Montevideo Wanderers have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Peñarol won 2, Montevideo Wanderers won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Peñarol 5, Montevideo Wanderers 1.

Our call

We expect Peñarol to score about 2.4 goals and Montevideo Wanderers about 1.1. That points to Peñarol to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Peñarol or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is Peñarol to win and both score at 2.81.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PeñarolWanderers
Games played2020
Wins119
Draws56
Losses45
Goals scored3227
Goals conceded1326
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game0.71.3
Home record6W 2D 3L4W 4D 1L
Away record5W 3D 1L5W 2D 4L
Clean sheets35%40%
Both teams scored45%50%
Over 2.5 goals40%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals67%1.48
Over 3.5 goals46%2.18
Both teams to score60%1.67
Peñarol or Draw86%1.17
Montevideo Wanderers or Draw33%3.02
Peñarol to win and Over 2.551%1.97
Montevideo Wanderers to win and Over 2.510%10.12
Peñarol clean sheet35%2.88
Montevideo Wanderers clean sheet9%11.22

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.6%
2-09.0%
1-18.4%
3-17.7%
3-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Our prediction for Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers is Peñarol to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Peñarol or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Peñarol to score 2.4 goals and Montevideo Wanderers 1.1.

Will both teams score in Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Peñarol last 20 games and 10 of Montevideo Wanderers last 20.

How are Peñarol playing?

Peñarol have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Montevideo Wanderers playing?

Montevideo Wanderers have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Peñarol and Montevideo Wanderers last met?

It ended Peñarol 5, Montevideo Wanderers 1. In the last 3 meetings Peñarol won 2 and Montevideo Wanderers won 1.

What is the best bet for Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Peñarol or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Peñarol against Wanderers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.