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Predictions › United States › Penn State Nittany Lions vs Northwestern Wildcats
College FootballFri 2 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Northwestern Wildcats prediction

Ryan Field

Penn State Nittany LionsAway
23.8 : 22.0
projected points
Northwestern WildcatsHome
58%Penn State
42%Northwestern
Eagle safe pickNorthwestern +12.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Penn State Nittany Lions vs Northwestern Wildcats is Penn State Nittany Lions to win, with a 58% chance. We project Penn State Nittany Lions 23.8 and Northwestern Wildcats 22.0. Our best bet is Northwestern +12.5 at -304.

Prediction
Penn State Nittany Lions to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Penn State Nittany Lions 24, Northwestern Wildcats 22
Projected total
45.8 points
Best bet
Northwestern +12.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Northwestern +12.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Northwestern Wildcats 42% and Penn State Nittany Lions 58%. The bookmakers agree and make Penn State Nittany Lions the favourite at -135.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Northwestern Wildcats won 3 of their last 5 and Penn State Nittany Lions won 4 of their last 5. Penn State Nittany Lions come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Northwestern Wildcats won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Penn State Nittany Lions won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Northwestern Wildcats score 25.5 points a game and let in 20.1. Penn State Nittany Lions score 31.3 and let in 20.1. Their recent games average 45.6 and 51.5 points in total, and the market line is 45.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Northwestern Wildcats won 1 and Penn State Nittany Lions won 0. The last one ended Penn State Nittany Lions 21, Northwestern Wildcats 22.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Northwestern +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Northwesternrest between games-2%
  • Penn Staterest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Northwestern Wildcats: Penn State Nittany Lions are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Northwestern Wildcats host Penn State Nittany Lions in the College Football on Fri 2 Oct, 20:00 at Ryan Field. Our prediction for Penn State Nittany Lions vs Northwestern Wildcats is Penn State Nittany Lions to win, with a 58% chance. We project Penn State Nittany Lions 23.8 and Northwestern Wildcats 22.0. Our best bet is Northwestern +12.5 at -304.

Northwestern Wildcats form

Northwestern Wildcats have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 357 points scored and 282 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Penn State Nittany Lions form

Penn State Nittany Lions have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 470 points scored and 302 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Northwestern Wildcats won 1, Penn State Nittany Lions won 0. Last time out it finished Penn State Nittany Lions 21, Northwestern Wildcats 22.

Our call

We expect Penn State Nittany Lions to score about 23.8 points and Northwestern Wildcats about 22.0. That points to Penn State Nittany Lions to win. Our safest bet is Northwestern +12.5 at -304.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

NorthwesternPenn State
Games played1415
Wins88
Losses67
Points scored357470
Points conceded282302
Scored per game25.531.3
Conceded per game20.120.1
Home record7W 2L4W 4L
Away record1W 4L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Northwestern to win42%+138+114-10.3%
Penn State to win52%-108-135-9.8%
Northwestern +2.549%+105-105-4.8%
Penn State -2.545%+122-115-15.9%
Over 45.5 points48%+110-112-10.1%
Under 45.5 points46%+116-108-10.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Northwestern spreadCoversFair
Northwestern -5.533%+207
Northwestern -1.542%+138
Northwestern +1.549%+102
Northwestern +4.557%-132
Northwestern +8.566%-197
Total pointsOverUnder
38.567%33%
42.558%42%
45.551%49%
48.543%57%
52.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Northwestern +3.5 wins if Northwestern win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Northwestern Locks In Coach David Braun With Long Term Extension

Northwestern has agreed to a contract extension with head coach David Braun through the 2031 season.

17 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Penn State Nittany Lions vs Northwestern Wildcats?

Our prediction for Penn State Nittany Lions vs Northwestern Wildcats is Penn State Nittany Lions to win, with a 58% chance. We project Penn State Nittany Lions 23.8 and Northwestern Wildcats 22.0. Our best bet is Northwestern +12.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Penn State Nittany Lions vs Northwestern Wildcats?

We project Penn State Nittany Lions 23.8 and Northwestern Wildcats 22.0, about 45.8 points in total.

How are Northwestern Wildcats playing?

Northwestern Wildcats have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 357 points scored and 282 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Penn State Nittany Lions playing?

Penn State Nittany Lions have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 470 points scored and 302 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Northwestern Wildcats and Penn State Nittany Lions last met?

It ended Penn State Nittany Lions 21, Northwestern Wildcats 22. In the last 1 meeting Northwestern Wildcats won 1 and Penn State Nittany Lions won 0.

What is the best bet for Penn State Nittany Lions vs Northwestern Wildcats?

Northwestern +12.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Northwestern against Penn State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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