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Predictions › Australia › Perth Glory FC vs Newcastle Jets
A-LeagueSat 7 Nov, 10:45 Australia time

Perth Glory FC vs Newcastle Jets prediction

HBF Park

Perth Glory FCHome
1.46 : 1.53
expected goals
Newcastle JetsAway
36%Perth Glory
26%Draw
39%Newcastle Jets
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Perth Glory FC vs Newcastle Jets is Newcastle Jets to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Newcastle Jets to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Perth Glory FC 1.5, Newcastle Jets 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Newcastle Jets to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 4.001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Perth Glory FC 36%, the draw 26% and Newcastle Jets 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Perth Glory FC took 7 points from their last 5 games and Newcastle Jets took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Perth Glory FC won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Newcastle Jets won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Perth Glory FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Newcastle Jets score 2.0 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Perth Glory FC games and 13 of Newcastle Jets games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Perth Glory FC won 1 and Newcastle Jets won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Perth Glory FC 1, Newcastle Jets 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Perth Gloryrecent form+1%
  • Newcastle Jetsrecent form-3%
Perth Glory form D L W D WNewcastle Jets form D D D L LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Perth Glory FC vs Newcastle Jets: Newcastle Jets shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Perth Glory FC host Newcastle Jets in the A-League on Sat 7 Nov, 10:45 at HBF Park. Our prediction for Perth Glory FC vs Newcastle Jets is Newcastle Jets to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Perth Glory FC form

Perth Glory FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Newcastle Jets form

Newcastle Jets have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Perth Glory FC won 1, Newcastle Jets won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Perth Glory FC 1, Newcastle Jets 3.

Our call

We expect Perth Glory FC to score about 1.5 goals and Newcastle Jets about 1.5. That points to Newcastle Jets to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Newcastle Jets to win and Over 2.5 at 4.00.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Perth GloryNewcastle Jets
Games played2020
Wins511
Draws67
Losses92
Goals scored2740
Goals conceded3222
Scored per game1.42.0
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record4W 1D 3L5W 3D 1L
Away record1W 5D 6L6W 4D 1L
Clean sheets10%20%
Both teams scored70%80%
Over 2.5 goals70%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.85
Both teams to score61%1.64
Perth Glory FC or Draw61%1.63
Newcastle Jets or Draw64%1.56
Perth Glory FC to win and Over 2.524%4.22
Newcastle Jets to win and Over 2.526%3.89
Perth Glory FC clean sheet22%4.60
Newcastle Jets clean sheet23%4.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-28.6%
2-18.2%
0-17.0%
1-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Perth Glory FC vs Newcastle Jets?

Our prediction for Perth Glory FC vs Newcastle Jets is Newcastle Jets to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Perth Glory FC vs Newcastle Jets?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Perth Glory FC to score 1.5 goals and Newcastle Jets 1.5.

Will both teams score in Perth Glory FC vs Newcastle Jets?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Perth Glory FC last 20 games and 16 of Newcastle Jets last 20.

How are Perth Glory FC playing?

Perth Glory FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Newcastle Jets playing?

Newcastle Jets have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Perth Glory FC and Newcastle Jets last met?

It ended Perth Glory FC 1, Newcastle Jets 3. In the last 2 meetings Perth Glory FC won 1 and Newcastle Jets won 1.

What is the best bet for Perth Glory FC vs Newcastle Jets?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Perth Glory against Newcastle Jets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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