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Predictions › United Kingdom › Peterborough United vs Burton Albion
League OneSat 17 Oct, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Peterborough United vs Burton Albion prediction

London Road Stadium

Peterborough UnitedHome
1.43 : 1.06
expected goals
Burton AlbionAway
45%Peterborough
28%Draw
27%Burton Albion
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Peterborough United vs Burton Albion is Peterborough United to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Peterborough United to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Peterborough United 1.4, Burton Albion 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Peterborough United 45%, the draw 28% and Burton Albion 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Peterborough United took 2 points from their last 5 games and Burton Albion took 5 from 5. Burton Albion come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Peterborough United won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Burton Albion won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Peterborough United score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.7. Burton Albion score 1.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Peterborough United games and 11 of Burton Albion games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Peterborough United won 1 and Burton Albion won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Peterborough United 1, Burton Albion 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Burton Albionrecent form-1%
Peterborough form D L W L WBurton Albion form D L W L DHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Peterborough United vs Burton Albion: Peterborough United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Peterborough United host Burton Albion in the League One on Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 at London Road Stadium. Our prediction for Peterborough United vs Burton Albion is Peterborough United to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Peterborough United form

Peterborough United have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Burton Albion form

Burton Albion have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Peterborough United won 1, Burton Albion won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Peterborough United 1, Burton Albion 1.

Our call

We expect Peterborough United to score about 1.4 goals and Burton Albion about 1.1. That points to Peterborough United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PeterboroughBurton Albion
Games played2020
Wins36
Draws78
Losses106
Goals scored2126
Goals conceded3426
Scored per game1.11.3
Conceded per game1.71.3
Home record1W 5D 4L3W 5D 3L
Away record2W 2D 6L3W 3D 3L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%2/5
Over 2.5 goals45%6/5
Over 3.5 goals24%3/1
Both teams to score51%Evens
Peterborough United or Draw73%4/11
Burton Albion or Draw55%4/5
Peterborough United to win and Over 2.525%3/1
Burton Albion to win and Over 2.515%6/1
Peterborough United clean sheet35%15/8
Burton Albion clean sheet24%10/3

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-011.1%
0-09.0%
2-19.0%
2-08.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Peterborough United vs Burton Albion?

Our prediction for Peterborough United vs Burton Albion is Peterborough United to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Peterborough United vs Burton Albion?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Peterborough United to score 1.4 goals and Burton Albion 1.1.

Will both teams score in Peterborough United vs Burton Albion?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Peterborough United last 20 games and 14 of Burton Albion last 20.

How are Peterborough United playing?

Peterborough United have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Burton Albion playing?

Burton Albion have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Peterborough United and Burton Albion last met?

It ended Peterborough United 1, Burton Albion 1. In the last 2 meetings Peterborough United won 1 and Burton Albion won 0.

What is the best bet for Peterborough United vs Burton Albion?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Peterborough against Burton Albion. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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