Predictions › United Kingdom › Peterborough United vs Luton Town

League OneSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Peterborough United vs Luton Town prediction

London Road Stadium

Peterborough UnitedHome

1.69 : 1.68

expected goals

Luton TownAway

38%Peterborough

24%Draw

38%Luton

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Peterborough United vs Luton Town is Peterborough United to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction: Peterborough United to win
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Peterborough United 1.7, Luton Town 1.7
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score: 67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

85% chanceFair price 2/112 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Peterborough United to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price 11/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Peterborough United 38%, the draw 24% and Luton Town 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Peterborough United took 4 points from their last 5 games and Luton Town took 6 from 5. Luton Town come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Peterborough United won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Luton Town won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Peterborough United score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.9. Luton Town score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Peterborough United games and 14 of Luton Town games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Peterborough United won 0 and Luton Town won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Luton Town 2, Peterborough United 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Peterboroughrecent form+1%
Lutonrecent form+3%
Peterboroughrest between games-5%
Lutonrest between games-5%

Peterborough form D D W W LLuton form D L W W WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Peterborough United vs Luton Town: Peterborough United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Peterborough United host Luton Town in the League One on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at London Road Stadium. Our prediction for Peterborough United vs Luton Town is Peterborough United to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Peterborough United form

Peterborough United have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Luton Town form

Luton Town have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Peterborough United won 0, Luton Town won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Luton Town 2, Peterborough United 1.

Our call

We expect Peterborough United to score about 1.7 goals and Luton Town about 1.7. That points to Peterborough United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is Peterborough United to win and Over 2.5 at 11/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Peterborough	Luton
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	11
Draws	6	4
Losses	10	5
Goals scored	24	39
Goals conceded	37	28
Scored per game	1.2	1.9
Conceded per game	1.9	1.4
Home record	1W 5D 4L	5W 3D 1L
Away record	3W 1D 6L	6W 1D 4L
Clean sheets	15%	20%
Both teams scored	65%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	86%	1/6
Over 2.5 goals	66%	8/15
Over 3.5 goals	44%	5/4
Both teams to score	67%	1/2
Peterborough United or Draw	62%	8/13
Luton Town or Draw	62%	8/13
Peterborough United to win and Over 2.5	28%	13/5
Luton Town to win and Over 2.5	28%	13/5
Peterborough United clean sheet	19%	9/2
Luton Town clean sheet	18%	9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%

2-18.2%

1-28.2%

2-26.9%

1-05.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

League One

Wilshere Clashes With Stendel Following Luton Win Over Barnsley

Jack Wilshere pushed Barnsley manager Daniel Stendel after Luton Town secured a 2-1 victory on Tuesday night, sparking a scuffle on the pitch.

5 hours ago

Questions people ask

Who will win Peterborough United vs Luton Town?

Our prediction for Peterborough United vs Luton Town is Peterborough United to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Peterborough United vs Luton Town?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Peterborough United to score 1.7 goals and Luton Town 1.7.

Will both teams score in Peterborough United vs Luton Town?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Peterborough United last 20 games and 14 of Luton Town last 20.

How are Peterborough United playing?

How are Luton Town playing?

What happened when Peterborough United and Luton Town last met?

It ended Luton Town 2, Peterborough United 1. In the last 1 meeting Peterborough United won 0 and Luton Town won 1.

What is the best bet for Peterborough United vs Luton Town?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Peterborough against Luton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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