Predictions › United Kingdom › Peterborough United vs Reading

FA CupSat 7 Nov, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Peterborough United vs Reading prediction

London Road Stadium

Peterborough UnitedHome

1.79 : 1.38

expected goals

ReadingAway

47%Peterborough

24%Draw

29%Reading

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Peterborough United vs Reading is Peterborough United to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Prediction: Peterborough United to win
Chance: 47%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Peterborough United 1.8, Reading 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1/5
Both teams to score: 63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1/52 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Peterborough United to win and Over 2.5

32% chanceFair price 85/401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Peterborough United 47%, the draw 24% and Reading 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Peterborough United took 5 points from their last 5 games and Reading took 10 from 5. Reading come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Peterborough United won 1 of their last 9 games at home. Reading won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Peterborough United score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.7. Reading score 1.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Peterborough United games and 11 of Reading games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Peterborough United won 1 and Reading won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Peterborough United 1, Reading 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Peterboroughrecent form-1%
Peterboroughrest between games-5%

Peterborough form L D L D WReading form D W L L WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Peterborough United vs Reading: Peterborough United are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Peterborough United host Reading in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 20:00 at London Road Stadium. Our prediction for Peterborough United vs Reading is Peterborough United to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Peterborough United form

Peterborough United have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Reading form

Reading have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Peterborough United won 1, Reading won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Peterborough United 1, Reading 1.

Our call

We expect Peterborough United to score about 1.8 goals and Reading about 1.4. That points to Peterborough United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5. Our bold bet is Peterborough United to win and Over 2.5 at 85/40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Peterborough	Reading
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	7
Draws	7	5
Losses	9	8
Goals scored	23	33
Goals conceded	34	24
Scored per game	1.1	1.6
Conceded per game	1.7	1.2
Home record	1W 5D 3L	5W 1D 5L
Away record	3W 2D 6L	2W 4D 3L
Clean sheets	15%	25%
Both teams scored	60%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1/5
Over 2.5 goals	61%	8/13
Over 3.5 goals	39%	8/5
Both teams to score	63%	4/7
Peterborough United or Draw	71%	2/5
Reading or Draw	53%	10/11
Peterborough United to win and Over 2.5	33%	2/1
Reading to win and Over 2.5	20%	4/1
Peterborough United clean sheet	25%	3/1
Reading clean sheet	17%	5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%

2-19.3%

1-27.2%

1-06.9%

2-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Peterborough United vs Reading?

Our prediction for Peterborough United vs Reading is Peterborough United to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Peterborough United vs Reading?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Peterborough United to score 1.8 goals and Reading 1.4.

Will both teams score in Peterborough United vs Reading?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Peterborough United last 20 games and 12 of Reading last 20.

How are Peterborough United playing?

How are Reading playing?

What happened when Peterborough United and Reading last met?

It ended Peterborough United 1, Reading 1. In the last 2 meetings Peterborough United won 1 and Reading won 0.

What is the best bet for Peterborough United vs Reading?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/5, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Peterborough against Reading. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.