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NBASat 10 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics prediction

TD Garden

Philadelphia 76ersAway
107.6 : 113.2
projected points
Boston CelticsHome
31%76ers
69%Celtics
Eagle safe pickCeltics +2.5
-297

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics is Boston Celtics to win, with a 69% chance. We project Philadelphia 76ers 107.6 and Boston Celtics 113.2. Our best bet is Celtics +2.5 at -297.

Prediction
Boston Celtics to win
Chance
69%
Projected score
Philadelphia 76ers 108, Boston Celtics 113
Projected total
220.8 points
Best bet
Celtics +2.5 at -297

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Celtics +2.5
75% chanceFair price -2971 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

76ers to win
31% chanceFair price +2211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boston Celtics 69% and Philadelphia 76ers 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boston Celtics won 2 of their last 5 and Philadelphia 76ers won 1 of their last 5. Boston Celtics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boston Celtics won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Philadelphia 76ers won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Boston Celtics score 113.5 points a game and let in 106.7. Philadelphia 76ers score 107.4 and let in 111.8. Their recent games average 220.2 and 219.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Boston Celtics won 2 and Philadelphia 76ers won 3. The last one ended Boston Celtics 100, Philadelphia 76ers 109.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Celtics +2.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Celticsrest between games-3%
  • 76ersrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics: Boston Celtics are favourites

The big picture

Boston Celtics host Philadelphia 76ers in the NBA on Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 at TD Garden. Our prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics is Boston Celtics to win, with a 69% chance. We project Philadelphia 76ers 107.6 and Boston Celtics 113.2. Our best bet is Celtics +2.5 at -297.

Boston Celtics form

Boston Celtics have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2270 points scored and 2133 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Philadelphia 76ers form

Philadelphia 76ers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2148 points scored and 2237 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Boston Celtics won 2, Philadelphia 76ers won 3. Last time out it finished Boston Celtics 100, Philadelphia 76ers 109.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia 76ers to score about 107.6 points and Boston Celtics about 113.2. That points to Boston Celtics to win. Our safest bet is Celtics +2.5 at -297. Our bold bet is 76ers to win at +221.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Celtics76ers
Games played2020
Wins139
Losses711
Points scored22702148
Points conceded21332237
Scored per game113.5107.4
Conceded per game106.7111.8
Home record7W 4L4W 5L
Away record6W 3L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Celtics spreadCoversFair
Celtics -11.532%+214
Celtics -8.541%+145
Celtics -5.550%-101
Celtics -2.560%-149
Celtics +0.569%-219
Total pointsOverUnder
214.564%36%
217.557%43%
220.551%49%
223.544%56%
226.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Celtics +3.5 wins if Celtics win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics?

Our prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics is Boston Celtics to win, with a 69% chance. We project Philadelphia 76ers 107.6 and Boston Celtics 113.2. Our best bet is Celtics +2.5 at -297.

What is the projected score for Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics?

We project Philadelphia 76ers 107.6 and Boston Celtics 113.2, about 220.8 points in total.

How are Boston Celtics playing?

Boston Celtics have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2270 points scored and 2133 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Philadelphia 76ers playing?

Philadelphia 76ers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2148 points scored and 2237 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers last met?

It ended Boston Celtics 100, Philadelphia 76ers 109. In the last 5 meetings Boston Celtics won 2 and Philadelphia 76ers won 3.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics?

Celtics +2.5 at -297, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celtics against 76ers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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