Predictions › United States › Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers
NBAFri 6 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction

Rocket Arena

Philadelphia 76ersAway
115.8 : 117.8
projected points
Cleveland CavaliersHome
50%76ers
50%Cavaliers
Eagle safe pickCavaliers +6.5
-319

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Philadelphia 76ers to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia 76ers 115.8 and Cleveland Cavaliers 117.8. Our best bet is Cavaliers +6.5 at -319.

Prediction
Philadelphia 76ers to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Philadelphia 76ers 116, Cleveland Cavaliers 118
Projected total
233.5 points
Best bet
Cavaliers +6.5 at -319

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cavaliers +6.5
76% chanceFair price -3192 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cleveland Cavaliers 50% and Philadelphia 76ers 50%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Cleveland Cavaliers the favourite at -120, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 3 of their last 5 and Philadelphia 76ers won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Philadelphia 76ers won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cleveland Cavaliers score 110.8 points a game and let in 114.1. Philadelphia 76ers score 106.8 and let in 112.4. Their recent games average 224.8 and 219.3 points in total, and the market line is 234.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Cleveland Cavaliers won 4 and Philadelphia 76ers won 1. The last one ended Philadelphia 76ers 114, Cleveland Cavaliers 106.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cavaliers +6.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cavaliersrest between games-5%
  • 76ersrest between games-2%
  • 76ersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers: Philadelphia 76ers shade it

The big picture

Cleveland Cavaliers host Philadelphia 76ers in the NBA on Fri 6 Nov, 19:30 at Rocket Arena. Our prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Philadelphia 76ers to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia 76ers 115.8 and Cleveland Cavaliers 117.8. Our best bet is Cavaliers +6.5 at -319.

Cleveland Cavaliers form

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2215 points scored and 2282 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Philadelphia 76ers form

Philadelphia 76ers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2137 points scored and 2248 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Cleveland Cavaliers won 4, Philadelphia 76ers won 1. Last time out it finished Philadelphia 76ers 114, Cleveland Cavaliers 106.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia 76ers to score about 115.8 points and Cleveland Cavaliers about 117.8. That points to Philadelphia 76ers to win. Our safest bet is Cavaliers +6.5 at -319.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Cavaliers76ers
Games played2020
Wins99
Losses1111
Points scored22152137
Points conceded22822248
Scored per game110.8106.8
Conceded per game114.1112.4
Home record7W 4L5W 6L
Away record2W 7L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Cavaliers to win50%+102-120-9.2%
76ers to win45%+123+100-10.4%
Cavaliers -1.548%+107-110-7.8%
76ers +1.546%+117-110-12.1%
Over 234.5 points46%+119-105-10.8%
Under 234.5 points49%+106-115-9.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Cavaliers spreadCoversFair
Cavaliers -8.530%+231
Cavaliers -5.539%+156
Cavaliers -2.548%+106
Cavaliers +0.558%-138
Cavaliers +3.567%-203
Total pointsOverUnder
227.563%37%
230.557%43%
233.550%50%
236.543%57%
239.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cavaliers +3.5 wins if Cavaliers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Our prediction for Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Philadelphia 76ers to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia 76ers 115.8 and Cleveland Cavaliers 117.8. Our best bet is Cavaliers +6.5 at -319.

What is the projected score for Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

We project Philadelphia 76ers 115.8 and Cleveland Cavaliers 117.8, about 233.5 points in total.

How are Cleveland Cavaliers playing?

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2215 points scored and 2282 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Philadelphia 76ers playing?

Philadelphia 76ers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2137 points scored and 2248 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Cleveland Cavaliers and Philadelphia 76ers last met?

It ended Philadelphia 76ers 114, Cleveland Cavaliers 106. In the last 5 meetings Cleveland Cavaliers won 4 and Philadelphia 76ers won 1.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Cavaliers +6.5 at -319, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cavaliers against 76ers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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