Predictions › United States › Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

NFLSun 11 Oct, 09:30 United States time

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesAway

19.8 : 23.6

projected points

Jacksonville JaguarsHome

45%Eagles

55%Jaguars

Eagle safe pickUnder 51.5 points

-292

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Eagles 19.8 and Jacksonville Jaguars 23.6. Our best bet is Under 51.5 points at -292.

Prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Chance: 55%
Projected score: Philadelphia Eagles 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 24
Projected total: 43.4 points
Best bet: Under 51.5 points at -292

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 51.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Jacksonville Jaguars 55% and Philadelphia Eagles 45%. The bookmakers agree and make Jacksonville Jaguars the favourite at -148.
2
Recent form
Jacksonville Jaguars won 3 of their last 5 and Philadelphia Eagles won 2 of their last 5. Jacksonville Jaguars come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Jacksonville Jaguars won 8 of their last 12 games at home. Philadelphia Eagles won 5 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Scoring
Jacksonville Jaguars score 27.2 points a game and let in 19.1. Philadelphia Eagles score 19.3 and let in 20.4. Their recent games average 46.3 and 39.6 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.
5
The safest bet
Under 51.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Eaglesrest between games-2%
Eaglesteam news-3%

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Jacksonville Jaguars shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Jacksonville Jaguars host Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Sun 11 Oct, 09:30 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Our prediction for Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Eagles 19.8 and Jacksonville Jaguars 23.6. Our best bet is Under 51.5 points at -292.

Jacksonville Jaguars form

Jacksonville Jaguars have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 544 points scored and 381 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Philadelphia Eagles form

Philadelphia Eagles have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 386 points scored and 407 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Eagles to score about 19.8 points and Jacksonville Jaguars about 23.6. That points to Jacksonville Jaguars to win. Our safest bet is Under 51.5 points at -292.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Jaguars	Eagles
Games played	20	20
Wins	14	9
Losses	6	11
Points scored	544	386
Points conceded	381	407
Scored per game	27.2	19.3
Conceded per game	19.1	20.4
Home record	8W 4L	4W 5L
Away record	6W 2L	5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Jaguars to win	55%	-123	-148	-7.6%
Eagles to win	39%	+157	+124	-12.7%
Jaguars -2.5	51%	-103	-115	-5.1%
Eagles +2.5	43%	+131	-105	-15.4%
Over 44.5 points	44%	+128	-110	-16.2%
Under 44.5 points	50%	-101	-110	-4.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Jaguars spread	Covers	Fair
Jaguars -10.5	31%	+222
Jaguars -6.5	42%	+137
Jaguars -3.5	51%	-104
Jaguars -0.5	60%	-148
Jaguars +3.5	71%	-240

Total points	Over	Under
36.5	70%	30%
40.5	59%	41%
43.5	50%	50%
46.5	41%	59%
50.5	29%	71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jaguars +3.5 wins if Jaguars win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

NFL

Saquon Barkley Set to Play Through Neck Injury Against Bears

Eagles running back Saquon Barkley plans to play through a neck stinger on Monday night against the Chicago Bears.

25 Sept 2026

NFL

Eagles Tight End Dallas Goedert Sidelined with MCL Sprain

Philadelphia Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert is expected to miss a few weeks after suffering an MCL sprain during Sunday's win over the Titans.

21 Sept 2026

NFL

Turf Temperature Hits 157 Degrees as Eagles Battle Titans

Philadelphia Eagles players battled melting cleats and head coach Nick Sirianni needed an IV during a scorching 24-20 win over the Titans.

21 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

What is the projected score for Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

We project Philadelphia Eagles 19.8 and Jacksonville Jaguars 23.6, about 43.4 points in total.

How are Jacksonville Jaguars playing?

How are Philadelphia Eagles playing?

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Under 51.5 points at -292, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jaguars against Eagles. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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