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Predictions › United States › Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders
NFLSun 1 Nov, 20:20 United States time

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders prediction

Northwest Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesAway
19.8 : 22.5
projected points
Washington CommandersHome
44%Eagles
56%Commanders
Eagle safe pickOver 34.5 points
-288

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders is Washington Commanders to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Eagles 19.8 and Washington Commanders 22.5. Our best bet is Over 34.5 points at -288.

Prediction
Washington Commanders to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Philadelphia Eagles 20, Washington Commanders 23
Projected total
42.3 points
Best bet
Over 34.5 points at -288

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 34.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2881 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Eagles to win
39% chancePrice +1501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Commanders 56% and Philadelphia Eagles 44%. The bookmakers agree and make Washington Commanders the favourite at -180.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Commanders won 1 of their last 5 and Philadelphia Eagles won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Commanders won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Philadelphia Eagles won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Commanders score 18.3 points a game and let in 28.1. Philadelphia Eagles score 18.8 and let in 19.9. Their recent games average 46.4 and 38.6 points in total, and the market line is 41.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Washington Commanders won 1 and Philadelphia Eagles won 2. The last one ended Philadelphia Eagles 24, Washington Commanders 22.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 34.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Commandersteam news-3%
  • Eaglesteam news-4%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders: Washington Commanders shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Washington Commanders host Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Sun 1 Nov, 20:20 at Northwest Stadium. Our prediction for Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders is Washington Commanders to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Eagles 19.8 and Washington Commanders 22.5. Our best bet is Over 34.5 points at -288.

Washington Commanders form

Washington Commanders have 4 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 366 points scored and 562 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Philadelphia Eagles form

Philadelphia Eagles have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 375 points scored and 398 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Washington Commanders won 1, Philadelphia Eagles won 2. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Eagles 24, Washington Commanders 22.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Eagles to score about 19.8 points and Washington Commanders about 22.5. That points to Washington Commanders to win. Our safest bet is Over 34.5 points at -288. Our bold bet is Eagles to win at +150.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CommandersEagles
Games played2020
Wins48
Losses1512
Points scored366375
Points conceded562398
Scored per game18.318.8
Conceded per game28.119.9
Home record2W 6L4W 6L
Away record2W 9L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Commanders to win56%-126-180-13.3%
Eagles to win39%+156+150-2.2%
Commanders -3.546%+118-110-12.5%
Eagles +3.549%+104-110-6.6%
Over 41.5 points49%+104-110-6.2%
Under 41.5 points46%+119-110-12.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Commanders spreadCoversFair
Commanders -9.531%+224
Commanders -5.542%+138
Commanders -2.551%-103
Commanders +0.560%-147
Commanders +4.570%-238
Total pointsOverUnder
35.570%30%
39.559%41%
42.549%51%
45.540%60%
49.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Commanders +3.5 wins if Commanders win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

NFL Backs Eagles Following Jalen Hurts Blood Clot Diagnosis

The NFL cleared the Eagles of wrongdoing after Jalen Hurts developed blood clots in his lungs following the London game.

20 Oct 2026
NFL

Dan Quinn Addresses Jayden Daniels Throwaway on Fourth Down

Dan Quinn said Jayden Daniels should have taken a shot downfield rather than throwing the ball away on fourth down against the 49ers.

20 Oct 2026
NFL

49ers Edge Commanders 23-17 to Stay Perfect Despite Evans Injury

San Francisco moved to 6-0 after holding off a Washington comeback, but an Achilles injury to Mike Evans casts a cloud over the win.

20 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders is Washington Commanders to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Eagles 19.8 and Washington Commanders 22.5. Our best bet is Over 34.5 points at -288.

What is the projected score for Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders?

We project Philadelphia Eagles 19.8 and Washington Commanders 22.5, about 42.3 points in total.

How are Washington Commanders playing?

Washington Commanders have 4 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 366 points scored and 562 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Eagles playing?

Philadelphia Eagles have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 375 points scored and 398 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles last met?

It ended Philadelphia Eagles 24, Washington Commanders 22. In the last 3 meetings Washington Commanders won 1 and Philadelphia Eagles won 2.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders?

Over 34.5 points at -288, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Commanders against Eagles. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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