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Predictions › United States › Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins
NHLTue 22 Sept, 19:00 United States time

Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins prediction

TD Garden

Philadelphia FlyersAway
2.8 : 3.1
projected goals
Boston BruinsHome
43%Flyers
57%Bruins
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-578

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins is Boston Bruins to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.8 and Boston Bruins 3.1. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -578.

Prediction
Boston Bruins to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Boston Bruins 3
Projected total
6.0 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -578

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
85% chanceFair price -5782 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Flyers to win
42% chanceFair price +1391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boston Bruins 57% and Philadelphia Flyers 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boston Bruins won 2 of their last 5 and Philadelphia Flyers won 1 of their last 5. Boston Bruins come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boston Bruins won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Philadelphia Flyers won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Boston Bruins score 3.0 goals a game and let in 2.8. Philadelphia Flyers score 2.9 and let in 2.5. Their recent games average 5.8 and 5.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Boston Bruins won 2 and Philadelphia Flyers won 3. The last one ended Philadelphia Flyers 2, Boston Bruins 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bruinsrest between games-3%
  • Flyersrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Boston Bruins host Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL on Tue 22 Sept, 19:00 at TD Garden. Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins is Boston Bruins to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.8 and Boston Bruins 3.1. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -578.

Boston Bruins form

Boston Bruins have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 56 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Philadelphia Flyers form

Philadelphia Flyers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Boston Bruins won 2, Philadelphia Flyers won 3. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Flyers 2, Boston Bruins 1.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Flyers to score about 2.8 goals and Boston Bruins about 3.1. That points to Boston Bruins to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -578. Our bold bet is Flyers to win at +139.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BruinsFlyers
Games played2020
Wins1011
Losses109
Goals scored6057
Goals conceded5649
Scored per game3.02.9
Conceded per game2.82.5
Home record4W 5L6W 4L
Away record6W 5L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bruins spreadCoversFair
Bruins -1.531%+223
Bruins -0.547%+114
Bruins +0.563%-172
Total goalsOverUnder
4.574%26%
5.559%41%
6.541%59%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bruins +3.5 wins if Bruins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins is Boston Bruins to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.8 and Boston Bruins 3.1. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -578.

What is the projected score for Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins?

We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.8 and Boston Bruins 3.1, about 6.0 goals in total.

How are Boston Bruins playing?

Boston Bruins have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 56 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Flyers playing?

Philadelphia Flyers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Boston Bruins and Philadelphia Flyers last met?

It ended Philadelphia Flyers 2, Boston Bruins 1. In the last 5 meetings Boston Bruins won 2 and Philadelphia Flyers won 3.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins?

Over 4 goals at -578, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bruins against Flyers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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