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Predictions › United States › Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings
NHLThu 15 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings prediction

Little Caesars Arena

Philadelphia FlyersAway
3.2 : 3.0
projected goals
Detroit Red WingsHome
57%Flyers
43%Red Wings
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-403

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings is Philadelphia Flyers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -403.

Prediction
Philadelphia Flyers to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Detroit Red Wings 3
Projected total
6.1 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -403

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
80% chanceFair price -4032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Red Wings to win
43% chanceFair price +1311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Red Wings 43% and Philadelphia Flyers 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Red Wings won 2 of their last 5 and Philadelphia Flyers won 0 of their last 5. Detroit Red Wings come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Red Wings won 3 of their last 12 games at home. Philadelphia Flyers won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Red Wings score 2.8 goals a game and let in 3.5. Philadelphia Flyers score 1.9 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 6.3 and 5.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Detroit Red Wings won 2 and Philadelphia Flyers won 1. The last one ended Detroit Red Wings 6, Philadelphia Flyers 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Wingsrest between games-5%
  • Flyersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings: Philadelphia Flyers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Detroit Red Wings host Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL on Thu 15 Oct, 19:30 at Little Caesars Arena. Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings is Philadelphia Flyers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -403.

Detroit Red Wings form

Detroit Red Wings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Philadelphia Flyers form

Philadelphia Flyers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 60 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Detroit Red Wings won 2, Philadelphia Flyers won 1. Last time out it finished Detroit Red Wings 6, Philadelphia Flyers 3.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Flyers to score about 3.2 goals and Detroit Red Wings about 3.0. That points to Philadelphia Flyers to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -403. Our bold bet is Red Wings to win at +131.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red WingsFlyers
Games played2020
Wins67
Losses1413
Goals scored5539
Goals conceded7160
Scored per game2.81.9
Conceded per game3.53.0
Home record3W 9L5W 6L
Away record3W 5L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Red Wings spreadCoversFair
Red Wings -0.539%+159
Red Wings +0.555%-123
Red Wings +1.571%-241
Total goalsOverUnder
5.561%39%
6.544%56%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Red Wings +3.5 wins if Red Wings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings is Philadelphia Flyers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -403.

What is the projected score for Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings?

We project Philadelphia Flyers 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.0, about 6.1 goals in total.

How are Detroit Red Wings playing?

Detroit Red Wings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 9 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Flyers playing?

Philadelphia Flyers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 60 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Red Wings and Philadelphia Flyers last met?

It ended Detroit Red Wings 6, Philadelphia Flyers 3. In the last 3 meetings Detroit Red Wings won 2 and Philadelphia Flyers won 1.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings?

Under 8 goals at -403, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Wings against Flyers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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