Quick answer
Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils is New Jersey Devils to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.7 and New Jersey Devils 3.0. Our best bet is Flyers +1.5 at -205.
- Prediction
- New Jersey Devils to win
- Chance
- 54%
- Projected score
- Philadelphia Flyers 3, New Jersey Devils 3
- Projected total
- 5.7 goals
- Best bet
- Flyers +1.5 at -205
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Flyers +1.5
71% chancePrice -205+5.4% value2 units
★ Eagle value pick
Flyers +1.5
71% chancePrice -205+5.4% value2 units
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives New Jersey Devils 54% and Philadelphia Flyers 46%. The bookmakers agree and make New Jersey Devils the favourite at -148.
- 2
Recent formNew Jersey Devils won 3 of their last 5 and Philadelphia Flyers won 1 of their last 5. New Jersey Devils come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayNew Jersey Devils won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Philadelphia Flyers won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
ScoringNew Jersey Devils score 3.3 goals a game and let in 3.0. Philadelphia Flyers score 2.5 and let in 2.6. Their recent games average 6.3 and 5.2 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 4 meetings, New Jersey Devils won 0 and Philadelphia Flyers won 4. The last one ended New Jersey Devils 1, Philadelphia Flyers 5.
- 6
Where the value isFlyers +1.5 is priced at -205. Our fair price is -243, so the bookmaker pays about 5.4% more than it should.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.- Devilsrest between games-5%
- Flyersrest between games-5%
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewPhiladelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
New Jersey Devils host Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL on Thu 1 Oct, 19:00 at Prudential Center. Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils is New Jersey Devils to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.7 and New Jersey Devils 3.0. Our best bet is Flyers +1.5 at -205.
New Jersey Devils form
New Jersey Devils have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 61 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.
Philadelphia Flyers form
Philadelphia Flyers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 52 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 4 times in our records. New Jersey Devils won 0, Philadelphia Flyers won 4. Last time out it finished New Jersey Devils 1, Philadelphia Flyers 5.
Our call
We expect Philadelphia Flyers to score about 2.7 goals and New Jersey Devils about 3.0. That points to New Jersey Devils to win. Our safest bet is Flyers +1.5 at -205. Our value bet is Flyers +1.5 at -205.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Devils +3.5 wins if Devils win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils?
Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils is New Jersey Devils to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.7 and New Jersey Devils 3.0. Our best bet is Flyers +1.5 at -205.
What is the projected score for Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils?
We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.7 and New Jersey Devils 3.0, about 5.7 goals in total.
How are New Jersey Devils playing?
New Jersey Devils have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 61 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.
How are Philadelphia Flyers playing?
Philadelphia Flyers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 52 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.
What happened when New Jersey Devils and Philadelphia Flyers last met?
It ended New Jersey Devils 1, Philadelphia Flyers 5. In the last 4 meetings New Jersey Devils won 0 and Philadelphia Flyers won 4.
What is the best bet for Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils?
Flyers +1.5 at -205, with a 71% chance. That price pays about 5.4% more than our fair price.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Devils against Flyers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
- 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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