Quick answer
Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators is Philadelphia Flyers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.8 and Ottawa Senators 2.9. Our best bet is Flyers +1.5 at -250.
- Prediction
- Philadelphia Flyers to win
- Chance
- 52%
- Projected score
- Philadelphia Flyers 3, Ottawa Senators 3
- Projected total
- 5.7 goals
- Best bet
- Flyers +1.5 at -250
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Flyers +1.5
74% chancePrice -250+3.2% value1 unit
★ Eagle value pick
Flyers +1.5
74% chancePrice -250+3.2% value1 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Ottawa Senators 48% and Philadelphia Flyers 52%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Ottawa Senators the favourite at -112, so take care with this one.
- 2
Recent formOttawa Senators won 1 of their last 5 and Philadelphia Flyers won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
- 3
Home and awayOttawa Senators won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Philadelphia Flyers won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
ScoringOttawa Senators score 2.8 goals a game and let in 3.0. Philadelphia Flyers score 2.5 and let in 2.6. Their recent games average 5.8 and 5.2 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 3 meetings, Ottawa Senators won 3 and Philadelphia Flyers won 0. The last one ended Philadelphia Flyers 1, Ottawa Senators 2.
- 6
Where the value isFlyers +1.5 is priced at -250. Our fair price is -280, so the bookmaker pays about 3.2% more than it should.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.- Senatorsrest between games-2%
- Flyersrest between games-2%
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewPhiladelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators: Philadelphia Flyers shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Ottawa Senators host Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL on Thu 8 Oct, 19:00 at Canadian Tire Centre. Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators is Philadelphia Flyers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.8 and Ottawa Senators 2.9. Our best bet is Flyers +1.5 at -250.
Ottawa Senators form
Ottawa Senators have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 61 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.
Philadelphia Flyers form
Philadelphia Flyers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 52 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 3 times in our records. Ottawa Senators won 3, Philadelphia Flyers won 0. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Flyers 1, Ottawa Senators 2.
Our call
We expect Philadelphia Flyers to score about 2.8 goals and Ottawa Senators about 2.9. That points to Philadelphia Flyers to win. Our safest bet is Flyers +1.5 at -250. Our value bet is Flyers +1.5 at -250.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against Draft Kings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Senators +3.5 wins if Senators win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators?
Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators is Philadelphia Flyers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.8 and Ottawa Senators 2.9. Our best bet is Flyers +1.5 at -250.
What is the projected score for Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators?
We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.8 and Ottawa Senators 2.9, about 5.7 goals in total.
How are Ottawa Senators playing?
Ottawa Senators have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 61 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.
How are Philadelphia Flyers playing?
Philadelphia Flyers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 52 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.
What happened when Ottawa Senators and Philadelphia Flyers last met?
It ended Philadelphia Flyers 1, Ottawa Senators 2. In the last 3 meetings Ottawa Senators won 3 and Philadelphia Flyers won 0.
What is the best bet for Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators?
Flyers +1.5 at -250, with a 74% chance. That price pays about 3.2% more than our fair price.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Senators against Flyers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
- 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
- Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.
Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.
Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.
Kenya
Nigeria
Ghana
South Africa
United Kingdom
United States
India
Tanzania
Uganda
Zambia
Cameroon
Ivory Coast
