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Predictions › United States › Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC
MLSSat 17 Oct, 14:30 United States time

Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC prediction

Subaru Park

Philadelphia UnionHome
1.93 : 1.19
expected goals
Charlotte FCAway
54%Philadelphia
23%Draw
23%Charlotte
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-392

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -392.

Prediction
Philadelphia Union to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Philadelphia Union 1.9, Charlotte FC 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -392
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price -3922 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price +1801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Philadelphia Union 54%, the draw 23% and Charlotte FC 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Philadelphia Union took 15 points from their last 5 games and Charlotte FC took 8 from 5. Philadelphia Union come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Philadelphia Union won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Charlotte FC won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Philadelphia Union score 2.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Charlotte FC score 1.7 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Philadelphia Union games and 13 of Charlotte FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 0 and Charlotte FC won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Charlotte FC 2, Philadelphia Union 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Philadelphiarecent form+7%
  • Charlotterecent form+1%
Philadelphia form W W W W WCharlotte form L W D W DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC: Philadelphia Union are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Philadelphia Union host Charlotte FC in the MLS on Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 at Subaru Park. Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -392.

Philadelphia Union form

Philadelphia Union have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Charlotte FC form

Charlotte FC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Philadelphia Union won 0, Charlotte FC won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Charlotte FC 2, Philadelphia Union 1.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Union to score about 1.9 goals and Charlotte FC about 1.2. That points to Philadelphia Union to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -392. Our bold bet is Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.5 at +180.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PhiladelphiaCharlotte
Games played2020
Wins109
Draws65
Losses46
Goals scored4834
Goals conceded3229
Scored per game2.41.7
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record6W 4D 0L4W 3D 2L
Away record4W 2D 4L5W 2D 4L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%-466
Over 2.5 goals60%-151
Over 3.5 goals38%+165
Both teams to score60%-150
Philadelphia Union or Draw77%-340
Charlotte FC or Draw46%+117
Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.538%+165
Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.515%+571
Philadelphia Union clean sheet30%+228
Charlotte FC clean sheet15%+586

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
2-19.8%
2-08.2%
1-07.9%
3-16.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Sullivan Sparks Philadelphia Union to Dominant 5-0 Win

Cavan Sullivan scored twice and set up another goal as the Philadelphia Union rolled to a 5-0 victory over San Diego.

14 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -392.

What is the score prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Philadelphia Union to score 1.9 goals and Charlotte FC 1.2.

Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Philadelphia Union last 20 games and 13 of Charlotte FC last 20.

How are Philadelphia Union playing?

Philadelphia Union have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Charlotte FC playing?

Charlotte FC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Philadelphia Union and Charlotte FC last met?

It ended Charlotte FC 2, Philadelphia Union 1. In the last 2 meetings Philadelphia Union won 0 and Charlotte FC won 2.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -392, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Philadelphia against Charlotte. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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