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Predictions › United States › Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution
MLSSat 24 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution prediction

Subaru Park

Philadelphia UnionHome
1.81 : 1.06
expected goals
New England RevolutionAway
54%Philadelphia
24%Draw
21%New England
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-336

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -336.

Prediction
Philadelphia Union to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Philadelphia Union 1.8, New England Revolution 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -336
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price -3362 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price +1921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Philadelphia Union 54%, the draw 24% and New England Revolution 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Philadelphia Union took 15 points from their last 5 games and New England Revolution took 9 from 5. Philadelphia Union come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Philadelphia Union won 7 of their last 10 games at home. New England Revolution won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Philadelphia Union score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.6. New England Revolution score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Philadelphia Union games and 15 of New England Revolution games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 1 and New England Revolution won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended New England Revolution 2, Philadelphia Union 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Philadelphiarecent form+6%
  • Philadelphiarest between games-5%
  • New Englandrest between games-5%
Philadelphia form D W W W WNew England form D L L W WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution: Philadelphia Union are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Philadelphia Union host New England Revolution in the MLS on Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 at Subaru Park. Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -336.

Philadelphia Union form

Philadelphia Union have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

New England Revolution form

New England Revolution have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Philadelphia Union won 1, New England Revolution won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished New England Revolution 2, Philadelphia Union 1.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Union to score about 1.8 goals and New England Revolution about 1.1. That points to Philadelphia Union to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -336. Our bold bet is Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.5 at +192.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PhiladelphiaNew England
Games played2020
Wins1210
Draws43
Losses47
Goals scored5031
Goals conceded3129
Scored per game2.51.6
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record7W 3D 0L5W 2D 3L
Away record5W 1D 4L5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored70%60%
Over 2.5 goals70%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%-370
Over 2.5 goals55%-121
Over 3.5 goals32%+209
Both teams to score55%-124
Philadelphia Union or Draw79%-367
New England Revolution or Draw46%+119
Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.535%+183
New England Revolution to win and Over 2.513%+677
Philadelphia Union clean sheet35%+189
New England Revolution clean sheet16%+511

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
2-19.8%
1-09.6%
2-09.3%
0-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Sullivan Sparks Philadelphia Union to Dominant 5-0 Win

Cavan Sullivan scored twice and set up another goal as the Philadelphia Union rolled to a 5-0 victory over San Diego.

14 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -336.

What is the score prediction for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Philadelphia Union to score 1.8 goals and New England Revolution 1.1.

Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Philadelphia Union last 20 games and 12 of New England Revolution last 20.

How are Philadelphia Union playing?

Philadelphia Union have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are New England Revolution playing?

New England Revolution have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution last met?

It ended New England Revolution 2, Philadelphia Union 1. In the last 2 meetings Philadelphia Union won 1 and New England Revolution won 1.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?

Over 1.5 goals at -336, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Philadelphia against New England. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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