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Predictions › United States › Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake
MLSSat 10 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake prediction

Subaru Park

Philadelphia UnionHome
2.22 : 0.74
expected goals
Real Salt LakeAway
71%Philadelphia
19%Draw
10%Salt Lake
Eagle safe pickPhiladelphia Union draw no bet
-549

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Philadelphia Union draw no bet at -549.

Prediction
Philadelphia Union to win
Chance
71%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Philadelphia Union 2.2, Real Salt Lake 0.7
Best bet
Philadelphia Union draw no bet at -549
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Philadelphia Union draw no bet
85% chanceFair price -5492 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price +1271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Philadelphia Union 71%, the draw 19% and Real Salt Lake 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Philadelphia Union took 15 points from their last 5 games and Real Salt Lake took 3 from 5. Philadelphia Union come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Philadelphia Union won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Real Salt Lake won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Philadelphia Union score 2.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Real Salt Lake score 1.2 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Philadelphia Union games and 12 of Real Salt Lake games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Philadelphia Union draw no bet has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Philadelphiarecent form+7%
  • Salt Lakerecent form-4%
Philadelphia form W W W W WSalt Lake form W L L L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake: Philadelphia Union are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Philadelphia Union host Real Salt Lake in the MLS on Sat 10 Oct, 19:30 at Subaru Park. Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Philadelphia Union draw no bet at -549.

Philadelphia Union form

Philadelphia Union have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Real Salt Lake form

Real Salt Lake have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Union to score about 2.2 goals and Real Salt Lake about 0.7. That points to Philadelphia Union to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Philadelphia Union draw no bet at -549. Our bold bet is Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.5 at +127.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PhiladelphiaSalt Lake
Games played2020
Wins104
Draws64
Losses412
Goals scored4824
Goals conceded3234
Scored per game2.41.2
Conceded per game1.61.7
Home record6W 4D 0L4W 2D 4L
Away record4W 2D 4L0W 2D 8L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%-398
Over 2.5 goals57%-131
Over 3.5 goals34%+192
Both teams to score47%+112
Philadelphia Union or Draw90%-855
Real Salt Lake or Draw29%+240
Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.547%+114
Real Salt Lake to win and Over 2.56%+1650
Philadelphia Union clean sheet48%+109
Real Salt Lake clean sheet11%+818

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.8%
1-011.0%
3-09.4%
2-19.4%
1-19.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Sullivan Sparks Philadelphia Union to Dominant 5-0 Win

Cavan Sullivan scored twice and set up another goal as the Philadelphia Union rolled to a 5-0 victory over San Diego.

14 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Philadelphia Union draw no bet at -549.

What is the score prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect Philadelphia Union to score 2.2 goals and Real Salt Lake 0.7.

Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Philadelphia Union last 20 games and 12 of Real Salt Lake last 20.

How are Philadelphia Union playing?

Philadelphia Union have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Real Salt Lake playing?

Real Salt Lake have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

Philadelphia Union draw no bet at -549, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Philadelphia against Salt Lake. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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