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Predictions › United States › Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC
MLSSat 7 Nov, 16:00 United States time

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC prediction

Subaru Park

Philadelphia UnionHome
1.96 : 0.92
expected goals
Toronto FCAway
61%Philadelphia
23%Draw
16%Toronto
Eagle safe pickPhiladelphia Union or Draw
-515

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Philadelphia Union or Draw at -515.

Prediction
Philadelphia Union to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Philadelphia Union 2.0, Toronto FC 0.9
Best bet
Philadelphia Union or Draw at -515
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Philadelphia Union or Draw
84% chanceFair price -5152 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price +1551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Philadelphia Union 61%, the draw 23% and Toronto FC 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Philadelphia Union took 10 points from their last 5 games and Toronto FC took 7 from 5. Philadelphia Union come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Philadelphia Union won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Toronto FC won 2 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Philadelphia Union score 2.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Toronto FC score 1.5 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Philadelphia Union games and 14 of Toronto FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Philadelphia Union won 0 and Toronto FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Toronto FC 3, Philadelphia Union 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Philadelphia Union or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Philadelphiarecent form+4%
  • Torontorecent form+1%
Philadelphia form D D W W WToronto form D W D W LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC: Philadelphia Union are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Philadelphia Union host Toronto FC in the MLS on Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 at Subaru Park. Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Philadelphia Union or Draw at -515.

Philadelphia Union form

Philadelphia Union have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Toronto FC form

Toronto FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Philadelphia Union won 0, Toronto FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Toronto FC 3, Philadelphia Union 3.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Union to score about 2.0 goals and Toronto FC about 0.9. That points to Philadelphia Union to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Philadelphia Union or Draw at -515. Our bold bet is Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.5 at +155.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PhiladelphiaToronto
Games played2020
Wins125
Draws47
Losses48
Goals scored5330
Goals conceded3339
Scored per game2.61.5
Conceded per game1.61.9
Home record7W 3D 1L3W 4D 1L
Away record5W 1D 3L2W 3D 7L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored80%75%
Over 2.5 goals80%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%-370
Over 2.5 goals55%-121
Over 3.5 goals32%+208
Both teams to score52%-109
Philadelphia Union or Draw84%-509
Toronto FC or Draw39%+156
Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.540%+151
Toronto FC to win and Over 2.59%+956
Philadelphia Union clean sheet40%+150
Toronto FC clean sheet14%+607

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.8%
1-110.7%
1-010.4%
2-19.9%
3-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Cavan Sullivan Sets MLS Teen Record But Calls His Performance Terrible

Cavan Sullivan set an MLS record for teenage goal contributions, but the midfielder was unhappy with his play in Philadelphia's 3-1 win.

15 Oct 2026
MLS

Sullivan Sparks Philadelphia Union to Dominant 5-0 Win

Cavan Sullivan scored twice and set up another goal as the Philadelphia Union rolled to a 5-0 victory over San Diego.

14 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Philadelphia Union or Draw at -515.

What is the score prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect Philadelphia Union to score 2.0 goals and Toronto FC 0.9.

Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Philadelphia Union last 20 games and 15 of Toronto FC last 20.

How are Philadelphia Union playing?

Philadelphia Union have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Toronto FC playing?

Toronto FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC last met?

It ended Toronto FC 3, Philadelphia Union 3. In the last 1 meeting Philadelphia Union won 0 and Toronto FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

Philadelphia Union or Draw at -515, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Philadelphia against Toronto. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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