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Predictions › Italy › Pisa vs Cremonese
Serie BSat 17 Oct, 17:30 Italy time

Pisa vs Cremonese prediction

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

PisaHome
1.34 : 1.31
expected goals
CremoneseAway
37%Pisa
28%Draw
36%Cremonese
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pisa vs Cremonese is Pisa to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Pisa to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Pisa 1.3, Cremonese 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pisa 37%, the draw 28% and Cremonese 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pisa took 7 points from their last 5 games and Cremonese took 5 from 5. Pisa come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pisa won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Cremonese won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Pisa score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. Cremonese score 0.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Pisa games and 12 of Cremonese games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Pisa won 1 and Cremonese won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cremonese 3, Pisa 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cremoneserecent form+1%
Pisa form D L L W WCremonese form D D W W LHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pisa vs Cremonese: Pisa shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pisa host Cremonese in the Serie B on Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani. Our prediction for Pisa vs Cremonese is Pisa to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Pisa form

Pisa have 3 wins, 2 draws and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Cremonese form

Cremonese have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Pisa won 1, Cremonese won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cremonese 3, Pisa 0.

Our call

We expect Pisa to score about 1.3 goals and Cremonese about 1.3. That points to Pisa to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.62.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PisaCremonese
Games played2020
Wins34
Draws24
Losses1512
Goals scored1517
Goals conceded3933
Scored per game0.80.8
Conceded per game1.91.6
Home record2W 0D 8L2W 3D 6L
Away record1W 2D 7L2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets10%30%
Both teams scored40%40%
Over 2.5 goals70%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.01
Over 3.5 goals28%3.61
Both teams to score55%1.82
Pisa or Draw64%1.55
Cremonese or Draw63%1.59
Pisa to win and Over 2.522%4.56
Cremonese to win and Over 2.521%4.76
Pisa clean sheet27%3.72
Cremonese clean sheet26%3.84

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-08.7%
0-18.5%
2-18.3%
1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Pisa vs Cremonese?

Our prediction for Pisa vs Cremonese is Pisa to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Pisa vs Cremonese?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Pisa to score 1.3 goals and Cremonese 1.3.

Will both teams score in Pisa vs Cremonese?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Pisa last 20 games and 8 of Cremonese last 20.

How are Pisa playing?

Pisa have 3 wins, 2 draws and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Cremonese playing?

Cremonese have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Pisa and Cremonese last met?

It ended Cremonese 3, Pisa 0. In the last 2 meetings Pisa won 1 and Cremonese won 1.

What is the best bet for Pisa vs Cremonese?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pisa against Cremonese. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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