EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Italy › Pisa vs Palermo
Serie BWed 28 Oct, 18:00 Italy time

Pisa vs Palermo prediction

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

PisaHome
1.21 : 1.78
expected goals
PalermoAway
25%Pisa
25%Draw
50%Palermo
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pisa vs Palermo is Palermo to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Palermo to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Pisa 1.2, Palermo 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Palermo to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 2.991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pisa 25%, the draw 25% and Palermo 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pisa took 10 points from their last 5 games and Palermo took 13 from 5. Palermo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pisa won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Palermo won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Pisa score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.9. Palermo score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Pisa games and 9 of Palermo games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pisarecent form-1%
  • Palermorecent form+4%
  • Pisarest between games-5%
  • Palermorest between games-5%
Pisa form D W D L LPalermo form D W W D WHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pisa vs Palermo: Palermo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pisa host Palermo in the Serie B on Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani. Our prediction for Pisa vs Palermo is Palermo to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Pisa form

Pisa have 5 wins, 1 draw and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Palermo form

Palermo have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Pisa to score about 1.2 goals and Palermo about 1.8. That points to Palermo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Palermo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.99.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PisaPalermo
Games played2020
Wins513
Draws14
Losses143
Goals scored2033
Goals conceded3822
Scored per game1.01.6
Conceded per game1.91.1
Home record3W 0D 7L8W 1D 0L
Away record2W 1D 7L5W 3D 3L
Clean sheets10%35%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals75%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.85
Both teams to score59%1.69
Pisa or Draw50%2.00
Palermo or Draw75%1.34
Pisa to win and Over 2.516%6.17
Palermo to win and Over 2.534%2.95
Pisa clean sheet17%5.94
Palermo clean sheet30%3.36

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
1-29.6%
0-18.3%
0-28.0%
2-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Pisa vs Palermo?

Our prediction for Pisa vs Palermo is Palermo to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Pisa vs Palermo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Pisa to score 1.2 goals and Palermo 1.8.

Will both teams score in Pisa vs Palermo?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Pisa last 20 games and 10 of Palermo last 20.

How are Pisa playing?

Pisa have 5 wins, 1 draw and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Palermo playing?

Palermo have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Pisa vs Palermo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pisa against Palermo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.