Predictions › Italy › Pisa vs Sudtirol

Serie BSat 7 Nov, 14:00 Italy time

Pisa vs Sudtirol prediction

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

PisaHome

1.61 : 1.21

expected goals

SudtirolAway

46%Pisa

26%Draw

28%Sudtirol

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pisa vs Sudtirol is Pisa to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction: Pisa to win
Chance: 46%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Pisa 1.6, Sudtirol 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score: 57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pisa to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Pisa 46%, the draw 26% and Sudtirol 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Pisa took 8 points from their last 5 games and Sudtirol took 5 from 5. Pisa come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Pisa won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Sudtirol won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Pisa score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.9. Sudtirol score 0.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Pisa games and 6 of Sudtirol games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Pisarecent form+1%
Sudtirolrest between games-5%

Pisa form D W W D LSudtirol form D D L D WHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pisa vs Sudtirol: Pisa are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pisa host Sudtirol in the Serie B on Sat 7 Nov, 14:00 at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani. Our prediction for Pisa vs Sudtirol is Pisa to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Pisa form

Pisa have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Sudtirol form

Sudtirol have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Pisa to score about 1.6 goals and Sudtirol about 1.2. That points to Pisa to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Pisa to win and Over 2.5 at 3.55.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Pisa	Sudtirol
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	3
Draws	2	10
Losses	13	7
Goals scored	21	17
Goals conceded	38	28
Scored per game	1.1	0.8
Conceded per game	1.9	1.4
Home record	3W 0D 7L	2W 7D 2L
Away record	2W 2D 6L	1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	10%	30%
Both teams scored	45%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.87
Over 3.5 goals	31%	3.20
Both teams to score	57%	1.76
Pisa or Draw	72%	1.39
Sudtirol or Draw	54%	1.85
Pisa to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.42
Sudtirol to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.81
Pisa clean sheet	30%	3.36
Sudtirol clean sheet	20%	4.99

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%

2-19.3%

1-08.9%

2-07.7%

1-27.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Pisa vs Sudtirol?

Our prediction for Pisa vs Sudtirol is Pisa to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Pisa vs Sudtirol?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Pisa to score 1.6 goals and Sudtirol 1.2.

Will both teams score in Pisa vs Sudtirol?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Pisa last 20 games and 10 of Sudtirol last 20.

How are Pisa playing?

How are Sudtirol playing?

What is the best bet for Pisa vs Sudtirol?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pisa against Sudtirol. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.