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College FootballFri 2 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech Hokies prediction

Lane Stadium

Pittsburgh PanthersAway
24.5 : 28.8
projected points
Virginia Tech HokiesHome
40%Pitt
60%Virginia Tech
Eagle safe pickOver 42.5 points
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech Hokies is Virginia Tech Hokies to win, with a 60% chance. We project Pittsburgh Panthers 24.5 and Virginia Tech Hokies 28.8. Our best bet is Over 42.5 points at -304.

Prediction
Virginia Tech Hokies to win
Chance
60%
Projected score
Pittsburgh Panthers 25, Virginia Tech Hokies 29
Projected total
53.3 points
Best bet
Over 42.5 points at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 42.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3042 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Virginia Tech Hokies 60% and Pittsburgh Panthers 40%. The bookmakers agree and make Virginia Tech Hokies the favourite at -185.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Virginia Tech Hokies won 4 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Panthers won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Virginia Tech Hokies won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Pittsburgh Panthers won 4 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Virginia Tech Hokies score 28.5 points a game and let in 25.6. Pittsburgh Panthers score 32.6 and let in 22.0. Their recent games average 54.1 and 54.6 points in total, and the market line is 52.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 42.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Virginia Techrest between games-5%
  • Pittrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech Hokies: Virginia Tech Hokies are favourites

The big picture

Virginia Tech Hokies host Pittsburgh Panthers in the College Football on Fri 2 Oct, 19:00 at Lane Stadium. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech Hokies is Virginia Tech Hokies to win, with a 60% chance. We project Pittsburgh Panthers 24.5 and Virginia Tech Hokies 28.8. Our best bet is Over 42.5 points at -304.

Virginia Tech Hokies form

Virginia Tech Hokies have 7 wins and 7 losses in their last 14 games, with 399 points scored and 358 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Pittsburgh Panthers form

Pittsburgh Panthers have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 489 points scored and 330 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Pittsburgh Panthers to score about 24.5 points and Virginia Tech Hokies about 28.8. That points to Virginia Tech Hokies to win. Our safest bet is Over 42.5 points at -304.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

Virginia TechPitt
Games played1415
Wins710
Losses75
Points scored399489
Points conceded358330
Scored per game28.532.6
Conceded per game25.622.0
Home record4W 4L6W 3L
Away record3W 3L4W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Virginia Tech to win60%-149-185-7.8%
Pitt to win36%+181+154-9.7%
Virginia Tech -3.549%+105-110-6.9%
Pitt +3.545%+122-110-14.1%
Over 52.5 points49%+105-110-6.7%
Under 52.5 points45%+123-110-14.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Virginia Tech spreadCoversFair
Virginia Tech -11.533%+207
Virginia Tech -7.542%+138
Virginia Tech -4.549%+102
Virginia Tech -1.557%-132
Virginia Tech +2.566%-197
Total pointsOverUnder
46.566%34%
50.557%43%
53.550%50%
56.542%58%
60.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Virginia Tech +3.5 wins if Virginia Tech win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech Hokies?

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech Hokies is Virginia Tech Hokies to win, with a 60% chance. We project Pittsburgh Panthers 24.5 and Virginia Tech Hokies 28.8. Our best bet is Over 42.5 points at -304.

What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech Hokies?

We project Pittsburgh Panthers 24.5 and Virginia Tech Hokies 28.8, about 53.3 points in total.

How are Virginia Tech Hokies playing?

Virginia Tech Hokies have 7 wins and 7 losses in their last 14 games, with 399 points scored and 358 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Pittsburgh Panthers playing?

Pittsburgh Panthers have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 489 points scored and 330 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech Hokies?

Over 42.5 points at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Virginia Tech against Pitt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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