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NHLSun 8 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks prediction

Honda Center

Pittsburgh PenguinsAway
3.8 : 3.5
projected goals
Anaheim DucksHome
57%Penguins
43%Ducks
Eagle safe pickUnder 9 goals
-433

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.8 and Anaheim Ducks 3.5. Our best bet is Under 9 goals at -433.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Anaheim Ducks 3
Projected total
7.3 goals
Best bet
Under 9 goals at -433

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 9 goals
81% chanceFair price -4332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ducks to win
43% chanceFair price +1311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Anaheim Ducks 43% and Pittsburgh Penguins 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Anaheim Ducks won 1 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 2 of their last 5. Pittsburgh Penguins come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Anaheim Ducks won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Pittsburgh Penguins won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Anaheim Ducks score 2.8 goals a game and let in 4.0. Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.0 and let in 3.1. Their recent games average 6.8 and 6.2 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Anaheim Ducks won 2 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 0. The last one ended Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Anaheim Ducks 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 9 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ducksrest between games-2%
  • Penguinsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks: Pittsburgh Penguins shade it

The big picture

Anaheim Ducks host Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Honda Center. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.8 and Anaheim Ducks 3.5. Our best bet is Under 9 goals at -433.

Anaheim Ducks form

Anaheim Ducks have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 80 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 62 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Anaheim Ducks won 2, Pittsburgh Penguins won 0. Last time out it finished Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Anaheim Ducks 4.

Our call

We expect Pittsburgh Penguins to score about 3.8 goals and Anaheim Ducks about 3.5. That points to Pittsburgh Penguins to win. Our safest bet is Under 9 goals at -433. Our bold bet is Ducks to win at +131.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DucksPenguins
Games played2020
Wins79
Losses1311
Goals scored5561
Goals conceded8062
Scored per game2.83.0
Conceded per game4.03.1
Home record3W 7L6W 3L
Away record4W 6L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Ducks spreadCoversFair
Ducks -0.537%+168
Ducks +0.554%-116
Ducks +1.570%-228
Total goalsOverUnder
6.563%37%
7.546%54%
8.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ducks +3.5 wins if Ducks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks?

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.8 and Anaheim Ducks 3.5. Our best bet is Under 9 goals at -433.

What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks?

We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.8 and Anaheim Ducks 3.5, about 7.3 goals in total.

How are Anaheim Ducks playing?

Anaheim Ducks have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 80 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 62 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Anaheim Ducks and Pittsburgh Penguins last met?

It ended Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Anaheim Ducks 4. In the last 2 meetings Anaheim Ducks won 2 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 0.

What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks?

Under 9 goals at -433, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ducks against Penguins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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