Predictions › United States › Pittsburgh Penguins vs Chicago Blackhawks
NHLTue 13 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction

United Center

Pittsburgh PenguinsAway
3.6 : 2.5
projected goals
Chicago BlackhawksHome
71%Penguins
29%Blackhawks
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-424

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Chicago Blackhawks is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 71% chance. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.6 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -424.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Chance
71%
Projected score
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Projected total
6.1 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -424

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
81% chanceFair price -4242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Blackhawks to win
29% chanceFair price +2411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chicago Blackhawks 29% and Pittsburgh Penguins 71%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chicago Blackhawks won 1 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 3 of their last 5. Pittsburgh Penguins come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chicago Blackhawks won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Pittsburgh Penguins won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Chicago Blackhawks score 2.3 goals a game and let in 3.9. Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.5 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.2 and 6.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Chicago Blackhawks won 0 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 2. The last one ended Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Chicago Blackhawks 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Blackhawksrest between games-5%
  • Penguinsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Chicago Blackhawks: Pittsburgh Penguins are favourites

The big picture

Chicago Blackhawks host Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL on Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 at United Center. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Chicago Blackhawks is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 71% chance. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.6 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -424.

Chicago Blackhawks form

Chicago Blackhawks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 77 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Chicago Blackhawks won 0, Pittsburgh Penguins won 2. Last time out it finished Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Chicago Blackhawks 2.

Our call

We expect Pittsburgh Penguins to score about 3.6 goals and Chicago Blackhawks about 2.5. That points to Pittsburgh Penguins to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -424. Our bold bet is Blackhawks to win at +241.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BlackhawksPenguins
Games played2020
Wins510
Losses1510
Goals scored4670
Goals conceded7765
Scored per game2.33.5
Conceded per game3.93.3
Home record3W 5L6W 4L
Away record2W 10L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Blackhawks spreadCoversFair
Blackhawks +0.540%+147
Blackhawks +1.557%-132
Blackhawks +2.572%-261
Total goalsOverUnder
5.560%40%
6.543%57%
7.527%73%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Blackhawks +3.5 wins if Blackhawks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Pittsburgh Penguins vs Chicago Blackhawks?

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Chicago Blackhawks is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 71% chance. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.6 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -424.

What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Chicago Blackhawks?

We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.6 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.5, about 6.1 goals in total.

How are Chicago Blackhawks playing?

Chicago Blackhawks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 77 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Chicago Blackhawks and Pittsburgh Penguins last met?

It ended Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Chicago Blackhawks 2. In the last 2 meetings Chicago Blackhawks won 0 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 2.

What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Chicago Blackhawks?

Under 8 goals at -424, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Blackhawks against Penguins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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