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Predictions › United States › Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche
NHLFri 16 Oct, 21:00 United States time

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche prediction

Ball Arena

Pittsburgh PenguinsAway
2.9 : 3.6
projected goals
Colorado AvalancheHome
38%Penguins
62%Avalanche
Eagle safe pickAvalanche +1
-334

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 62% chance. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 2.9 and Colorado Avalanche 3.6. Our best bet is Avalanche +1 at -334.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Colorado Avalanche 4
Projected total
6.5 goals
Best bet
Avalanche +1 at -334

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Avalanche +1
77% chanceFair price -3342 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Penguins to win
35% chanceFair price +1881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Avalanche 62% and Pittsburgh Penguins 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Avalanche won 3 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Avalanche won 10 of their last 12 games at home. Pittsburgh Penguins won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Avalanche score 3.5 goals a game and let in 2.5. Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.4 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 6.0 and 6.7 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Colorado Avalanche won 1 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 1. The last one ended Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Colorado Avalanche 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Avalanche +1 has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Penguinsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Colorado Avalanche host Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL on Fri 16 Oct, 21:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 62% chance. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 2.9 and Colorado Avalanche 3.6. Our best bet is Avalanche +1 at -334.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 50 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 67 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Colorado Avalanche won 1, Pittsburgh Penguins won 1. Last time out it finished Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Colorado Avalanche 6.

Our call

We expect Pittsburgh Penguins to score about 2.9 goals and Colorado Avalanche about 3.6. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Avalanche +1 at -334. Our bold bet is Penguins to win at +188.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AvalanchePenguins
Games played2020
Wins139
Losses711
Goals scored7067
Goals conceded5067
Scored per game3.53.4
Conceded per game2.53.4
Home record10W 2L5W 5L
Away record3W 5L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Avalanche spreadCoversFair
Avalanche -1.537%+169
Avalanche -0.554%-116
Avalanche +0.569%-227
Total goalsOverUnder
5.567%33%
6.550%50%
7.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Avalanche +3.5 wins if Avalanche win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Penguins forward Kuzmenko steps away after father killed in Russia

Pittsburgh Penguins forward Andrei Kuzmenko has taken a leave of absence after his father, Alexander, was tragically killed by a bear in Russia.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 62% chance. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 2.9 and Colorado Avalanche 3.6. Our best bet is Avalanche +1 at -334.

What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

We project Pittsburgh Penguins 2.9 and Colorado Avalanche 3.6, about 6.5 goals in total.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 50 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 67 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Avalanche and Pittsburgh Penguins last met?

It ended Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Colorado Avalanche 6. In the last 2 meetings Colorado Avalanche won 1 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 1.

What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche?

Avalanche +1 at -334, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Avalanche against Penguins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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