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Predictions › United States › Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars
NHLSun 22 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars prediction

American Airlines Center

Pittsburgh PenguinsAway
3.1 : 3.2
projected goals
Dallas StarsHome
52%Penguins
48%Stars
Eagle safe pickPenguins +2
-437

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.1 and Dallas Stars 3.2. Our best bet is Penguins +2 at -437.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Dallas Stars 3
Projected total
6.3 goals
Best bet
Penguins +2 at -437

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Penguins +2
81% chanceFair price -4372 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Penguins to win
45% chanceFair price +1231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Stars 48% and Pittsburgh Penguins 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Stars won 3 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 2 of their last 5. Dallas Stars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Stars won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Pittsburgh Penguins won 4 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Stars score 2.8 goals a game and let in 2.5. Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.2 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 5.3 and 6.6 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Dallas Stars won 2 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 1. The last one ended Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Dallas Stars 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Penguins +2 has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Starsrest between games-5%
  • Penguinsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars: Pittsburgh Penguins shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dallas Stars host Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL on Sun 22 Nov, 19:00 at American Airlines Center. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.1 and Dallas Stars 3.2. Our best bet is Penguins +2 at -437.

Dallas Stars form

Dallas Stars have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 50 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Dallas Stars won 2, Pittsburgh Penguins won 1. Last time out it finished Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Dallas Stars 1.

Our call

We expect Pittsburgh Penguins to score about 3.1 goals and Dallas Stars about 3.2. That points to Pittsburgh Penguins to win. Our safest bet is Penguins +2 at -437. Our bold bet is Penguins to win at +123.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StarsPenguins
Games played2020
Wins128
Losses812
Goals scored5664
Goals conceded5068
Scored per game2.83.2
Conceded per game2.53.4
Home record7W 5L4W 4L
Away record5W 3L4W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Stars spreadCoversFair
Stars -1.528%+254
Stars -0.544%+129
Stars +0.560%-151
Total goalsOverUnder
5.564%36%
6.547%53%
7.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Stars +3.5 wins if Stars win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Connor Hellebuyck Opens Up About Decision to Leave Winnipeg

Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck addressed Winnipeg fans on Instagram after requesting a trade to New Jersey due to family matters.

5 Nov 2026
NHL

Plano Voters Reject Tax Plan for Proposed Dallas Stars Arena

Plano voters rejected a tax proposal to help fund a new arena for the Dallas Stars as part of a $3 billion development project.

4 Nov 2026
NHL

Logan Cooley Hits Late Hat Trick as Mammoth Beat Penguins in Overtime

Logan Cooley scored late to force overtime before Mikhail Sergachev gave Utah a 4-3 victory over Pittsburgh.

30 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars?

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.1 and Dallas Stars 3.2. Our best bet is Penguins +2 at -437.

What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars?

We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.1 and Dallas Stars 3.2, about 6.3 goals in total.

How are Dallas Stars playing?

Dallas Stars have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 50 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Dallas Stars and Pittsburgh Penguins last met?

It ended Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Dallas Stars 1. In the last 3 meetings Dallas Stars won 2 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 1.

What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars?

Penguins +2 at -437, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stars against Penguins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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