Quick answer
Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers is Philadelphia Flyers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 2.7 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.8. Our best bet is Penguins +1.5 at -218.
- Prediction
- Philadelphia Flyers to win
- Chance
- 51%
- Projected score
- Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Philadelphia Flyers 3
- Projected total
- 5.5 goals
- Best bet
- Penguins +1.5 at -218
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Penguins +1.5
74% chancePrice -218+7.8% value2 units
★ Eagle value pick
Penguins +1.5
74% chancePrice -218+7.8% value2 units
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Philadelphia Flyers 51% and Pittsburgh Penguins 49%. The bookmakers agree and make Philadelphia Flyers the favourite at -135.
- 2
Recent formPhiladelphia Flyers won 1 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 2 of their last 5. Pittsburgh Penguins come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayPhiladelphia Flyers won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Pittsburgh Penguins won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
ScoringPhiladelphia Flyers score 2.5 goals a game and let in 2.6. Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.4 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 5.2 and 6.8 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 5 meetings, Philadelphia Flyers won 3 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 2. The last one ended Philadelphia Flyers 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 0.
- 6
Where the value isPenguins +1.5 is priced at -218. Our fair price is -283, so the bookmaker pays about 7.8% more than it should.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.- Flyersrest between games-5%
- Penguinsrest between games-5%
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewPittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Philadelphia Flyers host Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL on Wed 30 Sept, 19:30 at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers is Philadelphia Flyers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 2.7 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.8. Our best bet is Penguins +1.5 at -218.
Philadelphia Flyers form
Philadelphia Flyers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.
Pittsburgh Penguins form
Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 69 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 5 times in our records. Philadelphia Flyers won 3, Pittsburgh Penguins won 2. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Flyers 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 0.
Our call
We expect Pittsburgh Penguins to score about 2.7 goals and Philadelphia Flyers about 2.8. That points to Philadelphia Flyers to win. Our safest bet is Penguins +1.5 at -218. Our value bet is Penguins +1.5 at -218.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against Draft Kings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flyers +3.5 wins if Flyers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers?
Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers is Philadelphia Flyers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 2.7 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.8. Our best bet is Penguins +1.5 at -218.
What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers?
We project Pittsburgh Penguins 2.7 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.8, about 5.5 goals in total.
How are Philadelphia Flyers playing?
Philadelphia Flyers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.
How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?
Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 69 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.
What happened when Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins last met?
It ended Philadelphia Flyers 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 0. In the last 5 meetings Philadelphia Flyers won 3 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 2.
What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers?
Penguins +1.5 at -218, with a 74% chance. That price pays about 7.8% more than our fair price.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flyers against Penguins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
- 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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