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Predictions › United States › Pittsburgh Penguins vs San Jose Sharks
NHLWed 11 Nov, 22:00 United States time

Pittsburgh Penguins vs San Jose Sharks prediction

SAP Center at San Jose

Pittsburgh PenguinsAway
3.6 : 3.2
projected goals
San Jose SharksHome
59%Penguins
41%Sharks
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-429

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs San Jose Sharks is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 59% chance. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.6 and San Jose Sharks 3.2. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -429.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, San Jose Sharks 3
Projected total
6.8 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -429

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
81% chanceFair price -4292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sharks to win
41% chanceFair price +1411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Jose Sharks 41% and Pittsburgh Penguins 59%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Jose Sharks won 2 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Jose Sharks won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Pittsburgh Penguins won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Jose Sharks score 3.2 goals a game and let in 3.1. Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.0 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, San Jose Sharks won 1 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 1. The last one ended Pittsburgh Penguins 5, San Jose Sharks 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sharksrest between games-5%
  • Penguinsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pittsburgh Penguins vs San Jose Sharks: Pittsburgh Penguins are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Jose Sharks host Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL on Wed 11 Nov, 22:00 at SAP Center at San Jose. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs San Jose Sharks is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 59% chance. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.6 and San Jose Sharks 3.2. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -429.

San Jose Sharks form

San Jose Sharks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 63 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. San Jose Sharks won 1, Pittsburgh Penguins won 1. Last time out it finished Pittsburgh Penguins 5, San Jose Sharks 6.

Our call

We expect Pittsburgh Penguins to score about 3.6 goals and San Jose Sharks about 3.2. That points to Pittsburgh Penguins to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -429. Our bold bet is Sharks to win at +141.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SharksPenguins
Games played2020
Wins108
Losses1012
Goals scored6461
Goals conceded6365
Scored per game3.23.0
Conceded per game3.13.3
Home record4W 5L6W 3L
Away record6W 5L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Sharks spreadCoversFair
Sharks -0.536%+179
Sharks +0.552%-109
Sharks +1.568%-214
Total goalsOverUnder
5.571%29%
6.555%45%
7.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sharks +3.5 wins if Sharks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Logan Cooley Hits Late Hat Trick as Mammoth Beat Penguins in Overtime

Logan Cooley scored late to force overtime before Mikhail Sergachev gave Utah a 4-3 victory over Pittsburgh.

30 Oct 2026
NHL

Ben Kindel Returns to Pittsburgh Following Mid Flight Medical Emergency

Pittsburgh Penguins forward Ben Kindel is recovering in Pittsburgh after collapsing during a team flight back from Utah on Tuesday.

22 Oct 2026
NHL

Ben Kindel Hospitalized After Emergency on Penguins Flight

Pittsburgh forward Ben Kindel is stable in a Utah hospital after a medical emergency caused the team plane to return to Salt Lake City.

20 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Pittsburgh Penguins vs San Jose Sharks?

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs San Jose Sharks is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 59% chance. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.6 and San Jose Sharks 3.2. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -429.

What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Penguins vs San Jose Sharks?

We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.6 and San Jose Sharks 3.2, about 6.8 goals in total.

How are San Jose Sharks playing?

San Jose Sharks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 63 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 65 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when San Jose Sharks and Pittsburgh Penguins last met?

It ended Pittsburgh Penguins 5, San Jose Sharks 6. In the last 2 meetings San Jose Sharks won 1 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 1.

What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Penguins vs San Jose Sharks?

Over 5 goals at -429, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sharks against Penguins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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