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Predictions › United States › Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights
NHLSat 17 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction

T-Mobile Arena

Pittsburgh PenguinsAway
3.3 : 3.2
projected goals
Vegas Golden KnightsHome
56%Penguins
44%Golden Knights
Eagle safe pickGolden Knights +2
-375

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3 and Vegas Golden Knights 3.2. Our best bet is Golden Knights +2 at -375.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Vegas Golden Knights 3
Projected total
6.5 goals
Best bet
Golden Knights +2 at -375

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Golden Knights +2
79% chanceFair price -3752 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Golden Knights to win
44% chanceFair price +1261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vegas Golden Knights 44% and Pittsburgh Penguins 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vegas Golden Knights won 3 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vegas Golden Knights won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Pittsburgh Penguins won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Vegas Golden Knights score 3.5 goals a game and let in 2.8. Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.4 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.7 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Vegas Golden Knights won 1 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 1. The last one ended Vegas Golden Knights 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Golden Knights +2 has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Golden Knightsrest between games-5%
  • Penguinsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights: Pittsburgh Penguins shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vegas Golden Knights host Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL on Sat 17 Oct, 22:00 at T-Mobile Arena. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3 and Vegas Golden Knights 3.2. Our best bet is Golden Knights +2 at -375.

Vegas Golden Knights form

Vegas Golden Knights have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Vegas Golden Knights won 1, Pittsburgh Penguins won 1. Last time out it finished Vegas Golden Knights 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 2.

Our call

We expect Pittsburgh Penguins to score about 3.3 goals and Vegas Golden Knights about 3.2. That points to Pittsburgh Penguins to win. Our safest bet is Golden Knights +2 at -375. Our bold bet is Golden Knights to win at +126.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Golden KnightsPenguins
Games played2020
Wins149
Losses611
Goals scored7067
Goals conceded5566
Scored per game3.53.4
Conceded per game2.83.3
Home record6W 4L5W 5L
Away record8W 2L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Golden Knights spreadCoversFair
Golden Knights -0.540%+153
Golden Knights +0.556%-127
Golden Knights +1.572%-251
Total goalsOverUnder
5.567%33%
6.550%50%
7.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Golden Knights +3.5 wins if Golden Knights win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Vegas Locks Up Original Misfit William Karlsson With Two Year Extension

The Vegas Golden Knights have signed center William Karlsson to a two year, 13.5 million dollar contract extension.

30 Sept 2026
NHL

Penguins forward Kuzmenko steps away after father killed in Russia

Pittsburgh Penguins forward Andrei Kuzmenko has taken a leave of absence after his father, Alexander, was tragically killed by a bear in Russia.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights?

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3 and Vegas Golden Knights 3.2. Our best bet is Golden Knights +2 at -375.

What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights?

We project Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3 and Vegas Golden Knights 3.2, about 6.5 goals in total.

How are Vegas Golden Knights playing?

Vegas Golden Knights have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Vegas Golden Knights and Pittsburgh Penguins last met?

It ended Vegas Golden Knights 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 2. In the last 2 meetings Vegas Golden Knights won 1 and Pittsburgh Penguins won 1.

What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights?

Golden Knights +2 at -375, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Golden Knights against Penguins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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