Quick answer
Our prediction for Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Steelers 23.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.3. Our best bet is Over 37.5 points at -265.
- Prediction
- Pittsburgh Steelers to win
- Chance
- 56%
- Projected score
- Pittsburgh Steelers 23, New Orleans Saints 21
- Projected total
- 44.6 points
- Best bet
- Over 37.5 points at -265
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Over 37.5 points
73% chanceFair price -2651 unit
⚡ Eagle bold pick
Saints to win
44% chancePrice +1141 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives New Orleans Saints 44% and Pittsburgh Steelers 56%. The bookmakers agree and make Pittsburgh Steelers the favourite at -135.
- 2
Recent formNew Orleans Saints won 1 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Steelers won 3 of their last 5. Pittsburgh Steelers come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayNew Orleans Saints won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Pittsburgh Steelers won 2 of their last 8 on the road.
- 4
ScoringNew Orleans Saints score 18.9 points a game and let in 24.1. Pittsburgh Steelers score 20.9 and let in 22.0. Their recent games average 43.0 and 43.0 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.
- 5
The safest betOver 37.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewPittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints: Pittsburgh Steelers shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
New Orleans Saints host Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sun 25 Oct, 09:30 at Stade de France. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Steelers 23.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.3. Our best bet is Over 37.5 points at -265.
New Orleans Saints form
New Orleans Saints have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 379 points scored and 481 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.
Pittsburgh Steelers form
Pittsburgh Steelers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 419 points scored and 440 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.
Our call
We expect Pittsburgh Steelers to score about 23.4 points and New Orleans Saints about 21.3. That points to Pittsburgh Steelers to win. Our safest bet is Over 37.5 points at -265. Our bold bet is Saints to win at +114.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Saints +3.5 wins if Saints win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints?
Our prediction for Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Pittsburgh Steelers 23.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.3. Our best bet is Over 37.5 points at -265.
What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints?
We project Pittsburgh Steelers 23.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.3, about 44.6 points in total.
How are New Orleans Saints playing?
New Orleans Saints have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 379 points scored and 481 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.
How are Pittsburgh Steelers playing?
Pittsburgh Steelers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 419 points scored and 440 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.
What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints?
Over 37.5 points at -265, with a 73% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Saints against Steelers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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