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Predictions › United States › Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFLSun 18 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction

Raymond James Stadium

Pittsburgh SteelersAway
21.0 : 19.1
projected points
Tampa Bay BuccaneersHome
60%Steelers
40%Buccaneers
Eagle safe pickBuccaneers +10
-290

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 60% chance. We project Pittsburgh Steelers 21.0 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19.1. Our best bet is Buccaneers +10 at -290.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
Chance
60%
Projected score
Pittsburgh Steelers 21, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19
Projected total
40.1 points
Best bet
Buccaneers +10 at -290

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Buccaneers +10
74% chanceFair price -2901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers 40% and Pittsburgh Steelers 60%. The bookmakers agree and make Pittsburgh Steelers the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 0 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Steelers won 2 of their last 5. Pittsburgh Steelers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Pittsburgh Steelers won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers score 19.9 points a game and let in 23.0. Pittsburgh Steelers score 20.8 and let in 22.6. Their recent games average 43.0 and 43.4 points in total, and the market line is 39.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Buccaneers +10 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Buccaneersteam news-3%
  • Steelersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Pittsburgh Steelers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tampa Bay Buccaneers host Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 at Raymond James Stadium. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 60% chance. We project Pittsburgh Steelers 21.0 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19.1. Our best bet is Buccaneers +10 at -290.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers form

Tampa Bay Buccaneers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 399 points scored and 460 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Pittsburgh Steelers form

Pittsburgh Steelers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 416 points scored and 451 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Pittsburgh Steelers to score about 21.0 points and Tampa Bay Buccaneers about 19.1. That points to Pittsburgh Steelers to win. Our safest bet is Buccaneers +10 at -290.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BuccaneersSteelers
Games played2020
Wins79
Losses1311
Points scored399416
Points conceded460451
Scored per game19.920.8
Conceded per game23.022.6
Home record4W 6L7W 4L
Away record3W 7L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Buccaneers to win40%+152+130-8.8%
Steelers to win54%-116-155-11.8%
Buccaneers +350%+100-118-7.7%
Steelers -343%+131-102-14.2%
Over 39.5 points48%+106-110-7.5%
Under 39.5 points45%+123-110-14.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Buccaneers spreadCoversFair
Buccaneers -5.529%+241
Buccaneers -1.540%+148
Buccaneers +1.549%+104
Buccaneers +4.558%-137
Buccaneers +8.569%-222
Total pointsOverUnder
33.570%30%
37.558%42%
40.549%51%
43.540%60%
47.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Buccaneers +3.5 wins if Buccaneers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Steelers Downplay Sideline Drama After Loss to Browns

Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers are brushing off heated sideline exchanges during their recent loss, calling the passion a positive sign.

22 hours ago
NFL

Baker Mayfield Injury Update: Bucs Turn to Rookie Jalon Daniels

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield is out with a thumb injury, forcing undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels to make his first start.

4 Oct 2026
NFL

Steelers Lose Defensive Star Derrick Harmon to Foot Injury

Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackle Derrick Harmon is expected to miss multiple weeks after suffering a foot injury against the Cleveland Browns.

4 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers is Pittsburgh Steelers to win, with a 60% chance. We project Pittsburgh Steelers 21.0 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19.1. Our best bet is Buccaneers +10 at -290.

What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

We project Pittsburgh Steelers 21.0 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19.1, about 40.1 points in total.

How are Tampa Bay Buccaneers playing?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 399 points scored and 460 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Pittsburgh Steelers playing?

Pittsburgh Steelers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 416 points scored and 451 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Buccaneers +10 at -290, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Buccaneers against Steelers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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