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Predictions › Argentina › Platense vs Lanús
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 17 Oct, 20:30 Argentina time

Platense vs Lanús prediction

Ciudad de Vicente López

PlatenseHome
0.66 : 1.51
expected goals
LanúsAway
16%Platense
27%Draw
57%Lanús
Eagle safe pickLanús or Draw
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Platense vs Lanús is Lanús to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Lanús or Draw at 1.22.

Prediction
Lanús to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Platense 0.7, Lanús 1.5
Best bet
Lanús or Draw at 1.22
Both teams to score
38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Lanús or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lanús to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Platense 16%, the draw 27% and Lanús 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Platense took 4 points from their last 5 games and Lanús took 10 from 5. Lanús come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Platense won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Lanús won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Platense score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.4. Lanús score 0.8 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Platense games and 6 of Lanús games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Platense won 0 and Lanús won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Lanús 0, Platense 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Lanús or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lanús recent form+3%
  • Platenserest between games-2%
Platense form D W L W LLanús form D W W W LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Platense vs Lanús: Lanús are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Platense host Lanús in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 17 Oct, 20:30 at Ciudad de Vicente López. Our prediction for Platense vs Lanús is Lanús to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Lanús or Draw at 1.22.

Platense form

Platense have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Lanús form

Lanús have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Platense won 0, Lanús won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Lanús 0, Platense 0.

Our call

We expect Platense to score about 0.7 goals and Lanús about 1.5. That points to Lanús to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Lanús or Draw at 1.22. Our bold bet is Lanús to win and Over 2.5 at 3.67.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PlatenseLanús
Games played2020
Wins58
Draws74
Losses88
Goals scored2016
Goals conceded2718
Scored per game1.00.8
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record2W 5D 3L6W 3D 2L
Away record3W 2D 5L2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets15%50%
Both teams scored60%20%
Over 2.5 goals45%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.55
Over 2.5 goals37%2.69
Over 3.5 goals18%5.68
Both teams to score38%2.60
Platense or Draw43%2.34
Lanús or Draw84%1.18
Platense to win and Over 2.56%16.08
Lanús to win and Over 2.528%3.61
Platense clean sheet22%4.55
Lanús clean sheet52%1.94

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-116.5%
0-213.0%
1-112.1%
0-012.0%
1-28.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Platense vs Lanús?

Our prediction for Platense vs Lanús is Lanús to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Lanús or Draw at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Platense vs Lanús?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Platense to score 0.7 goals and Lanús 1.5.

Will both teams score in Platense vs Lanús?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Platense last 20 games and 4 of Lanús last 20.

How are Platense playing?

Platense have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Lanús playing?

Lanús have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Platense and Lanús last met?

It ended Lanús 0, Platense 0. In the last 2 meetings Platense won 0 and Lanús won 1.

What is the best bet for Platense vs Lanús?

Lanús or Draw at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Platense against Lanús . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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