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Predictions › United Kingdom › Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch prediction

Home Park

Plymouth ArgyleHome
1.89 : 1.44
expected goals
AAlvechurchAway
48%Plymouth
24%Draw
29%Alvechurch
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/6

Quick answer

Our prediction for Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch is Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

Prediction
Plymouth Argyle to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Plymouth Argyle 1.9, Alvechurch 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/6
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1/62 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Plymouth Argyle to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 15/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Plymouth Argyle 48%, the draw 24% and Alvechurch 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Alvechurchrecent form+4%
Plymouth form D L L W WAlvechurch form D D W W WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch: Plymouth Argyle are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Plymouth Argyle host Alvechurch in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Home Park. Our prediction for Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch is Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

Plymouth Argyle form

Plymouth Argyle have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Alvechurch form

Alvechurch have no recent games in our records yet.

Our call

We expect Plymouth Argyle to score about 1.9 goals and Alvechurch about 1.4. That points to Plymouth Argyle to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6. Our bold bet is Plymouth Argyle to win and Over 2.5 at 15/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PlymouthAlvechurch
Games played20n/a
Wins11n/a
Draws3n/a
Losses6n/a
Goals scored36n/a
Goals conceded30n/a
Scored per game1.8n/a
Conceded per game1.5n/a
Home record5W 1D 4Ln/a
Away record6W 2D 2Ln/a
Clean sheets20%n/a
Both teams scored60%n/a
Over 2.5 goals60%n/a

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%2/11
Over 2.5 goals65%8/15
Over 3.5 goals43%11/8
Both teams to score65%8/15
Plymouth Argyle or Draw71%2/5
Alvechurch or Draw52%10/11
Plymouth Argyle to win and Over 2.535%15/8
Alvechurch to win and Over 2.520%4/1
Plymouth Argyle clean sheet24%10/3
Alvechurch clean sheet15%11/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-19.2%
1-27.0%
2-26.6%
2-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch?

Our prediction for Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch is Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

What is the score prediction for Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Plymouth Argyle to score 1.9 goals and Alvechurch 1.4.

Will both teams score in Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance.

How are Plymouth Argyle playing?

Plymouth Argyle have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/6, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Plymouth against Alvechurch. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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